Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) has been on an incredible run since last June with the stock jumping almost 72% from the low to the high. The stock bottomed at $46.33 last June and rallied to a high of $79.65 recently. Even in the fourth quarter when most stocks lost tremendous ground, Starbucks was actually up.
The stock did pull back a little in December and the low from then combined with the lows from January have created the lower rail of an upwardly sloping trend channel. The upper rail connects the highs from February, April, and May. The pullback over the last few weeks has brought the stock back down to the lower rail and to the 50-day moving average.
You can also see that the daily stochastic readings just hit oversold territory for the first time since December. The indicators made a bullish crossover on May 30. The last time they did this, the stock rallied from $61 to $71 within two months.
In addition to the possible bullish signs from the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine just generated a bullish signal for Starbucks on May 29. The signal showed a confidence level of 76% while previous signals on the stock have been successful 74% of the time. The signal calls for a move of at least 4% over the next month.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where SBUX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SBUX just turned positive on March 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where SBUX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SBUX as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SBUX moved below its 50-day moving average on March 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SBUX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SBUX entered a downward trend on March 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (7.368). P/E Ratio (24.471) is within average values for comparable stocks, (181.324). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.273) is also within normal values, averaging (1.952). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.859) is also within normal values, averaging (2.483).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants