Carvana got a rating upgrade from Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas who also almost doubled his price target on the online used-car retailer’s shares.
Jonas raised his rating on Carvana to overweight from equal weight. He boosted price target to a Wall Street high of $420 from $225.
This followed Carvana’s earnings report that showed +65% year-over-year growth in revenue to $1.83 billion for the fourth quarter, beating analysts’ forecast of $1.6 billion. Net loss widened to -87 cents a share from -82 cents in the year-ago quarter.
According to Jonas, Carvana "is uniquely positioned to serve an automotive and transportation [addressable market] that goes far beyond the used-car market, driving potentially far higher growth that is not reflected in today’s share price.” He added, “In our opinion, describing Carvana as just a ‘used car dealer’ is like describing Amazon nearly two decades ago as just an online bookseller.”
CVNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where CVNA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVNA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 48 cases where CVNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 269 cases where CVNA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVNA as a result. In of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVNA turned negative on October 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CVNA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CVNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (28.409) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.541). P/E Ratio (88.525) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.297). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.945). CVNA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (3.067) is also within normal values, averaging (215.802).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a car dealer
Industry AutomotiveAftermarket