Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 07, 2022
Casey's(CASY, $229.96) beats Q2 earnings expectations, despite revenue miss

Casey's(CASY, $229.96) beats Q2 earnings expectations, despite revenue miss

Casey's General Stores posted adjusted earnings of $3.67 per share for the quarter ended October, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.27 per share (according to Zacks Equity Research). Earnings were $2.59 per share a year ago.

Revenues of $3.98 billion for the quarter missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.14%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $3.26 billion. Inside Same-store sales climbed +7.9% year-over-year and 14.4% on a two-year stack basis.

The company updated its fiscal 2023 outlook, with current expectation of same-store inside sales to be approximately 5% to 7%. Total operating expense rise outlook is near the low end of the annual range which was approximately 9% to 10%. The tax rate is now expected to be between 24% and 25% for the year.

Related Ticker: CASY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for CASY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CASY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 24, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CASY turned negative on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CASY moved below its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CASY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CASY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CASY entered a downward trend on August 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CASY advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CASY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CASY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.042) is normal, around the industry mean (4.852). P/E Ratio (39.259) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.421). CASY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.268) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.429). CASY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.003) as compared to the industry average of (0.032). P/S Ratio (1.597) is also within normal values, averaging (1.100).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 52.32B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 52.32B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. ABLV experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while DKS experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 57% and the average quarterly volume growth was 9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -25 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
CASY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of convenience stores and gasoline stations

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Details
Industry
Food Retail
Address
One Se Convenience Boulevard
Phone
+1 515 965-6100
Employees
49272
Web
https://www.caseys.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
Linde (LIN) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.20, topping estimates, with full-year revenue reaching $34 billion. 2026 EPS guidance of $17.40–$17.90 implies 6–9% growth, supported by a record $10 billion project backlog.
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, missing estimates due to weaker oil prices. Full-year adjusted earnings totaled $7.7 billion, with $19.9 billion in operating cash flow. Shares have gained more than 10% in recent weeks, supported by analyst upgrades and sector momentum.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $779 million, up 5.9% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.82, beating expectations. Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $2.62 billion, down 10.2% year over year, but adjusted diluted EPS climbed 14% to $1.77, well above estimates.
(OMC) Omnicom’s fourth-quarter report, released February 18, 2026, marked its first earnings update incorporating results from Interpublic Group (IPG), acquired on November 26, 2025. The combination created the world’s largest marketing services firm by revenue, a significant milestone as the advertising industry consolidates and adapts to digital transformation.
Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has rebounded with ~12% YTD gains and 50%+ one-year returns, supported by margin improvements and strong skincare/fragrance demand despite broader prestige beauty challenges.
Q4 2025 revenue was strong at about 257–258 million (up roughly 16% year over year and above forecasts), but adjusted EPS was 0.30 versus about 0.31–0.32 expected, and EBITDA of about 101–102 million was a touch below consensus.
Q4 2025 revenue was about 392 million, roughly 10–20% below consensus (around 430–440 million), and EPS came in at −0.44−0.44 versus forecasts near −0.27−0.27 to −0.32−0.32, a more than 60% negative surprise. Results were hit by a roughly 170 million non‑cash impairment plus weaker realized pricing and volumes, driving a large net loss in the quarter despite strong full‑year EBITDA and free cash flow.
AXON surged approximately +17.56% on February 25, 2026, closing at $520.18 versus the prior session's close of $442.51. The primary catalyst was a blowout Q4 2025 earnings report, with adjusted EPS of $2.15 crushing the consensus estimate of approximately $1.67.
CAVA shares surged approximately +25.01% on February 25, 2026, closing near $84.76, up from the prior session's close of $67.80. The primary catalyst was a better-than-expected Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings report, with EPS of $0.04 beating the $0.03 consensus estimate and revenue of ~$274.99M exceeding the $268.04M estimate.
ODD shares plunged approximately 49.21% on February 25, 2026, closing near $14.74, compared to the prior close of approximately $29.02. The primary catalyst was a shock Q1 2026 revenue warning: management guided for a roughly 30% year-over-year revenue decline due to a severe spike in customer acquisition costs (CAC).
MNKD shares collapsed 36.82% on February 25, 2026, closing at $3.50 versus the prior session's close of $5.54 — one of the largest single-day declines in the stock's recent history. The primary catalyst was United Therapeutics' surprise unveiling of Tresmi, a proprietary soft mist inhaler delivering treprostinil, announced during the company's Q4 2025 earnings call.
EOSE shares fell sharply on February 26, 2026, dropping approximately 31% from the prior session's close of $11.13 to around $7.64 in early trading, following a pre-market earnings release. Primary catalyst: Eos Energy reported Q4 2025 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.72, missing analyst consensus estimates by $0.48, a 200%+ negative surprise.
ARRY beat Q4 revenue expectations but showed a sharp year‑over‑year sales decline and a sizeable net loss. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 badly missed Wall Street estimates, highlighting ongoing margin and cost pressures. 2026 guidance for EPS and EBITDA came in well below analyst forecasts, signaling weaker‑than‑hoped earnings power over the next year.
C3.ai (AI) dropped more than 18% today after delivering a deeply disappointing quarterly report, slashing its revenue outlook, and announcing mass layoffs, which together reinforced doubts about its growth story in an increasingly competitive AI software market.
On the surface, PRCT’s top line still grew: Q4 2025 revenue reached about 76.4 million dollars, up roughly 11.9–12% from the prior year. However, analysts had expected something closer to 94–96 million dollars, so the shortfall of nearly 20% was significant for a high‑growth med‑tech name.
Payoneer Global (PAYO) fell more than 18% today after it missed Wall Street expectations on both Q4 2025 revenue and earnings, and issued softer‑than‑hoped guidance that reinforced concerns about slowing growth and competitive pressure in cross‑border fintech.
Gold, uranium, and rare earth stocks are moving fast in 2026 — and this 15-minute AI Trading Agent is built to move faster. Designed for high-beta Mining & Metals leaders like NEM, LEU, MP, and KGC, it transforms commodity volatility into structured, data-driven opportunity with institutional-grade risk control.
In a market where milliseconds matter and emotional decisions cost fortunes, a new class of AI-driven trading tools is rewriting the rulebook. Meet the HUBB, AVGO, ITA, QQQ – Trading Results AI Trading Agent (4 Tickers, 5min) — a precision-engineered robot that monitors four strategically selected tickers across semiconductors, industrial power infrastructure, aerospace & defense, and broad tech growth.
Q4 2025 gross profit grew about 24% year over year to roughly 2.87 billion dollars, with Cash App gross profit up about 33% and Square gross profit up around 7%. Adjusted operating income jumped to about 588 million dollars in Q4 (around a 20% margin), up strongly from the prior year. For the full year, gross profit was roughly 10.36 billion dollars, up about 17% year over year, showing broad‑based growth across the business.
NVDA shares declined 5.47% on Thursday, February 26, 2026, closing at $184.87, down from the prior session close of approximately $195.56. The primary catalyst was a "sell the news" reaction to Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings that beat estimates on every headline metric but failed to ignite meaningful buying interest.