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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 17, 2023

$CB, $PGR, $ALL, $MKL, $RNR, and others have grown by more than 1% over the week on a significantly declining market.

The previous and current week proved to be challenging for most stocks, with significant downward movements observed. However, there were some stocks that performed notably better than the market, even experiencing slight growth during this period. Notably, these include stocks from the Property and Casualty Insurance industry. Signals for stocks of this type can be examined in our robot: Swing Trader for Beginners - Search for Trend Reversals (TA/FA).

Property and Casualty Insurance Industry Overview: The Property and Casualty Insurance industry provides coverage against non-physical harm accidents, including legal liabilities, damage to personal belongings, automobile accidents, and more. Leading companies in this sector include Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc., and Allstate Corporation. These companies offer insurance products that protect individuals and businesses from financial losses resulting from various unforeseen events.

Market Capitalization Insights: The average market capitalization for companies within the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry is approximately $12.5 billion. The market cap for companies in this sector varies widely, ranging from as low as $93.9 thousand to as high as $83 billion. Among the notable companies, CB (Chubb) holds the highest valuation at $83 billion, while UNAM is the lowest valued company at $93.9 thousand.

Price Movement Analysis: Across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry, the average weekly price growth stands at -0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth is 0.03%, and the average quarterly price growth is 3.47%. Notable price movements include CNFR experiencing the highest price growth at 20.58%, while HALL saw the largest decline at -29.6%.

Notable Price News: On 8/3/23 at 2:01 PM, Allstate Corp (ALL) observed a significant decline of -5.71% for the week. On 7/22/23 at 1:50 PM, Chubb (CB) showed a strong weekly gain of +6.1%. On 7/22/23 at 1:50 PM, Allstate Corp (ALL) also experienced a notable weekly gain of +9.53%.

Volume Trends: Across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry, the average weekly volume growth is -57.45%. The average monthly volume growth is -63.17%, and the average quarterly volume growth is -65.47%. Noteworthy volume events include Kinsale Capital Group witnessing a record-breaking daily volume increase of 1,135% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average on 6/24/23 at 6:57 AM. Additionally, RenaissanceRe Holdings observed a consecutive five-day increase in volume, with an average daily gain of 313% on 6/1/23 at 7:57 AM.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings: The average fundamental analysis ratings, ranging from 1 (best) to 100 (worst), for companies in the industry are as follows:

  • Valuation Rating: 47
  • P/E Growth Rating: 56
  • Price Growth Rating: 50
  • SMR Rating (Stock Market Rating): 90
  • Profit Risk Rating: 72
  • Seasonality Score: -7 (Scale: -100 to +100)

These ratings provide insights into various aspects of the companies' financial performance, risk assessment, and market perception.

Note: The provided information is based on the data available up to the cutoff date in September 2021 and may not reflect the most recent developments or changes in the industry.

CB's Stochastic Oscillator indicates an oversold condition that has persisted for 6 days. This suggests a potential upcoming uptrend, as prolonged periods in the oversold zone can precede a rebound in the stock price.

Stock Forecast and Price Analysis for CB: The current price of CB is $202.01, having crossed the support line at $205.88. The stock is trading within the range of $205.88 support and $165.16 support lines. Over the period from 07/17/23 to 08/16/23, the price exhibited a positive uptrend of +5%. In the week of 08/09/23 to 08/16/23, the stock saw a modest uptrend growth of +0.50%.

PGR's Upward Trend Analysis: PGR (Progressive Corporation) recently moved above its 50-day Moving Average on August 16, 2023, indicating a shift from a downward to an upward trend. Historical data shows that in 50 out of 71 similar instances, the stock price further increased within the following month. This suggests a 70% likelihood of a continued upward trend.

Stock Forecast and Trend Analysis for ALL: The current price of ALL is $136.13, surpassing the resistance line at $135.81. The stock is trading between $141.38 resistance and $135.81 resistance lines. From 07/17/23 to 08/16/23, the price showed a strong uptrend of +12%. In the week of 08/09/23 to 08/16/23, the stock experienced an uptrend growth of +8%. However, the 10-day Moving Average crossed below the 50-day moving average on August 15, 2023, signaling a potential downward trend. Historical data suggests that in 10 of 17 past instances with this crossover, the stock continued to move higher over the following month, implying a 59% chance of a continued downward trend.

Stock Forecast and Price Analysis for Another Ticker: The current price of another stock (ticker not specified) is $109.75, below the lowest support line found by AI at $115.87. From 07/17/23 to 08/16/23, the price experienced an uptrend of +7%. During the week of 08/09/23 to 08/16/23, the stock saw a minor uptrend growth of +0.14%.

Aroon Indicator for MKL: MKL's Aroon Indicator provided a bullish signal on August 16, 2023. AroonUp (green line) crossed above 70, while AroonDown (red line) remained below 30. This pattern suggests a potential bullish move. Historical data from similar instances indicates that in 128 of 232 cases, the stock moved higher in the days following this signal, implying a 55% chance of a move higher.

Stock Forecast and Trend Analysis for Another Ticker: The current price of another stock (ticker not specified) is $1505.88, having crossed the resistance line at $1489.53. The stock is trading between $1575.54 support and $1489.53 resistance lines. From 07/17/23 to 08/16/23, the price showed an uptrend of +8%. In the week of 08/09/23 to 08/16/23, the stock experienced a minor uptrend growth of +0.26%.

RNR's Moving Averages Analysis: On August 01, 2023, the 50-day Moving Average for RNR moved below the 200-day moving average, indicating a potential long-term bearish signal and shift to a downward trend.

Stock Forecast and Price Analysis for Another Ticker: The current price of another stock (ticker not specified) is $183.65, crossing the resistance line at $188.45. The stock is trading between $188.45 resistance and $173.07 support lines. From 07/17/23 to 08/16/23, the price experienced a downtrend of -7%. In the week of 08/09/23 to 08/16/23, the stock fell by -3%.

Related Ticker: CB, PGR, ALL, MKL, RNR, KNSL, RGA

CB's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for CB moved out of overbought territory on July 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where CB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for CB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CB entered a downward trend on July 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CB as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CB just turned positive on July 15, 2024. Looking at past instances where CB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CB moved above its 50-day moving average on July 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CB advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 77%.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.755) is normal, around the industry mean (2.168). P/E Ratio (11.807) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.462). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.744) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.140) is also within normal values, averaging (1.421).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry is 14.53B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 93.9K to 121.13B. PGR holds the highest valuation in this group at 121.13B. The lowest valued company is UNAM at 93.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. OXBR experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while SZCRF experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 85
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company for a family of property and casualty insurance companies

Industry PropertyCasualtyInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
Baerengasse 32
Phone
+41 434567600
Employees
40000
Web
https://www.chubb.com
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