Chevron (CVX, $117.43) got an overweight rating from Barclays, while ExxonMobil (XOM, $69.50) got a 'neutral' one
Chevron shares climbed Monday, after a Barclays analyst initiated coverage on the company with an overweight rating.
Barclays analyst Jeanine Wai said in a note to investors that the oil and gas company "is well-positioned” to generate substantial free cash flow to shareholders, and also fund its 3-4% five-year growth CAGR guidance. Wai set a stock price target of $145 on Chevron.
Wai also mentioned that even as Chevron has outperformed ExxonMobil by 11% over the last year, the stock still trades at a discount on an after-tax cash-blow basis in 2020, which should invert over the next year as the market factors in the sustainability of CVX's casg return program. Wai added, "while we think XOM's counter-cyclical investment approach will eventually pay off, it leaves a near-term FCF deficit after dividend at Brent prices less than $70."
Exxon is expecting its Permian holdings to be cash-flow positive in 2021 at $60 a barrel for Brent crude, while Chevron targets the same scenario for 2020 at $55 a barrel for Nymex-traded WTI oil, as indicated by the analyst.
The Barclays analysts initiated coverage of Exxon Mobil at equal weight with a price target of $73 a share.
CVX's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on January 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 29, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVX as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVX turned negative on January 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CVX moved below its 50-day moving average on January 31, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for CVX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CVX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 296 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.836) is normal, around the industry mean (1.194). P/E Ratio (14.004) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.497) is also within normal values, averaging (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.519) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).
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General Information
a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas
Industry IntegratedOil