Chevron (CVX, $117.43) got an overweight rating from Barclays, while ExxonMobil (XOM, $69.50) got a 'neutral' one
Chevron shares climbed Monday, after a Barclays analyst initiated coverage on the company with an overweight rating.
Barclays analyst Jeanine Wai said in a note to investors that the oil and gas company "is well-positioned” to generate substantial free cash flow to shareholders, and also fund its 3-4% five-year growth CAGR guidance. Wai set a stock price target of $145 on Chevron.
Wai also mentioned that even as Chevron has outperformed ExxonMobil by 11% over the last year, the stock still trades at a discount on an after-tax cash-blow basis in 2020, which should invert over the next year as the market factors in the sustainability of CVX's casg return program. Wai added, "while we think XOM's counter-cyclical investment approach will eventually pay off, it leaves a near-term FCF deficit after dividend at Brent prices less than $70."
Exxon is expecting its Permian holdings to be cash-flow positive in 2021 at $60 a barrel for Brent crude, while Chevron targets the same scenario for 2020 at $55 a barrel for Nymex-traded WTI oil, as indicated by the analyst.
The Barclays analysts initiated coverage of Exxon Mobil at equal weight with a price target of $73 a share.
CVX sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for CVX moved above the 200-day moving average on August 12, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVX as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in of 367 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 316 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVX turned negative on September 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CVX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVX's P/B Ratio (2.203) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.208). P/E Ratio (20.604) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.828). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.561) is also within normal values, averaging (1.857). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.068) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.505) is also within normal values, averaging (0.946).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas
Industry IntegratedOil
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