GET DAILY SIGNALSChewy (CHWY, $24.16) nears expiry of early investor lock-up period; posts wider-than-expected Q3 loss
Chewy Inc. shares declined during pre-market trading Tuesday - after reporting wider-than-expected losses the previous day, and ahead of the expiry of early investors’ lock-up period.
On Monday, the online retailer of pet food and other pet-related products reported third quarter loss of -20 cents per share –which was wider than anticipated.
However, total sales increased +40% from the same period last year to $1.23 billion. The company’s customer base grew +33% to 12.7 million.
For the full-year, Chewy expects sales to range between $4.82 billion and $4.84 billion. It projects adjusted operating profit margin improvement of between 4.4% and 4.6%.
In June, Chewy went public, finishing its first day of trading at $34.99 per share , +59% above its IPO price. It raised more than $1 billion in its public debut. But the lock-up expiry is tomorrow, which would let some 83% of the outstanding shares to be freely traded – which means, early investors get a chance to cash out from their IPO holdings.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CHWY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CHWY turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where CHWY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHWY as a result. In 61 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
CHWY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CHWY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +6.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHWY advanced for three days, in 216 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 146 of 181 cases where CHWY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CHWY moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHWY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
CHWY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHWY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (24.474) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). P/E Ratio (33.672) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.672) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHWY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which operates as a web-based, pet supplies e-tailer.
Industry InternetRetail
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