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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 31, 2021

Chewy (CHWY, $80.39) beats fiscal Q4 earnings expectations

Chewy  reported earnings for its fiscal-fourth quarter that crushed analysts’ expectations. Revenue almost doubled, on the back of solid online orders.

For the quarter ended Jan. 31, the online retailer for pet-related products reported earnings of 5 cents a share, while analysts’ polled by Factset had expected an adjusted loss of -10 cents a share. The company had a  loss of -15 cents a share in the year-ago period.

Revenue for the quarter surged +51.1% year-over-year to $2.04 billion, also exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.97 billion.

"Years of preparation and focus have positioned us as the Internet’s preeminent neighborhood pet store and a leading pure-play e-commerce company in the pet space," said Chief Executive Sumit Singh in a statement.

For the first quarter, Chewy is expecting revenue of $2.11 billion to $2.13 billion.

Looking ahead, the company projects $8.85 billion to $8.95 billion for the full year.  The FactSet survey shows analysts’ forecast of a GAAP loss of -8 cents, or an adjusted loss of -11 cents, on revenue of $8.85 billion.

 

Related Ticker: CHWY

CHWY sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

CHWY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 24, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHWY as a result. In of 70 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHWY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CHWY entered a downward trend on May 11, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHWY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHWY advanced for three days, in of 222 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CHWY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHWY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (58.824) is normal, around the industry mean (18.872). CHWY's P/E Ratio (243.902) is considerably higher than the industry average of (71.991). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.590). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.249) is also within normal values, averaging (8.411).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHWY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 23.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30 to 1.24T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.24T. The lowest valued company is YUKA at 30.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. OCG experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while TDUP experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 63
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which operates as a web-based, pet supplies e-tailer.

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
7700 West Sunrise Boulevard
Phone
+1 786 320-7111
Employees
19400
Web
https://www.chewy.com
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CHWY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHWY has been loosely correlated with ETSY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CHWY jumps, then ETSY could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CHWY
1D Price
Change %
CHWY100%
-2.35%
ETSY - CHWY
63%
Loosely correlated
-1.75%
RVLV - CHWY
62%
Loosely correlated
-5.17%
W - CHWY
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.08%
JMIA - CHWY
61%
Loosely correlated
+1.45%
MELI - CHWY
58%
Loosely correlated
-0.93%
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