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Jan 04, 2019
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Chile Retail Sales' Unexpected November Decline

Chile Retail Sales' Unexpected November Decline

Chile experienced an apparently unanticipated decline in retail sales in November. On a year-over-year basis, Chile Retail Sales real index dropped -0.8% - the sharpest decline in four years, according to data from the national statistics agency. A Bloomberg survey’s  median forecast for November sales in Chile was a +1.8% gain.

November’s decline also marks a reversal from October’s +7.5% increase in Chilean retail sales. The nation’s sales of electronics, pharmacy, cosmetics and personal hygiene goods and fuel dropped in November, while automobile sales slowed sharply.

Related Ticker: ECH

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ECH in -4.03% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ECH declined for three days, in 250 of 293 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ECH as a result. In 58 of 68 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ECH turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.

The Aroon Indicator for ECH entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ECH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +0.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ECH advanced for three days, in 327 of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

ECH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Chile IMI 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The underlying index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large-, mid- and small-capitalization segments of the equity market in Chile. The fund is non-diversified.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF was -4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. USD experienced the highest price growth at -5%, while USD experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) ETF was 62%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 83%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 33
Profit Risk Rating: 60
Seasonality Score: -7 (-100 ... +100)
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iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
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Chile Retail Sales' Unexpected November Decline