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Feb 15, 2019
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China may purchase $200 billion in semi-conductors from the U.S.

China may purchase $200 billion in semi-conductors from the U.S.

In a high voltage negotiation between the presidents of the world’s two largest economies — U.S. and China — the leaders reached a temporary truce to address the trade imbalance.

US President Donald Trump agreed to maintain a 10% tariff on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods and to not raise them to 25%, for now. In return, China confirmed its intentions to buy a substantial quantity of various categories of goods, like agriculture or energy, from the U.S to help reduce trade disputes between the two countries.

In light of this agreement, China’s economic-planning agency proposed to make large purchases of U.S. semiconductors with a target set at $200 billion over the next six years – a five-fold increase over current exports.  

This agreement also means some alternation in the export style on the part of the U.S. semiconductor companies. They must now export directly to China rather than sending the chips to a third country where they are assembled and tested.

However, semiconductors have expressed doubts they can at all meet the projected demand of China, as U.S. has exported only $6.1 billion of semiconductors to the region in 2017.

The negotiations between the two presidents will resume next week for a more realistic - and perhaps permanent - outcome.

Related Ticker: INTC

INTC's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 5 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

Following a +13.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 226 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 69 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.398) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (-26.928) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 180.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.51T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.51T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -30%. INDI experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while MCHP experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 175% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
85100
Web
https://www.intel.com
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