China's October Exports Jumped +16% Year-over-Year, Even Against U.S. Tariffs - How?
Notwithstanding a searing trade war with the U.S., China’s exporters experienced a strong October.
Chinese exports surged +16% in October compared to the year-ago period. That was faster than the preceding month’s year-over-year growth rate, even as October was the first full month when the U.S. implemented new tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. The tariff rate, which is now 10% on these goods, will be hiked to 25% by the end of the year – something that could have potentially accelerated demand for Chinese exports in October, before prices increase further.
Another possible factor behind the export boost could be a weakening Chinese yuan, which lost almost -10% in value against the U.S. dollar since February. A lower yuan could be a tailwind to Chinese goods’ competitiveness in global trade, thereby potentially mitigating the headwinds posed by tariffs. But given that Chinese authorities/regulators are apparently taking steps to stabilize the yuan and arrest excessive short-selling in the currency, coupled with the slated hike in U.S. tariff rates on Chinese goods, it remains to be seen how long China’s export growth can continue. A lot could also hinge on the outcome of the scheduled trade talk between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s leader Xi Jinping later this month when they would be attending the G20 summit in Buenos Aires.
Momentum Indicator for USDCNY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
USDCNY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 126 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 126 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USDCNY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USDCNY just turned positive on September 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where USDCNY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 97 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Aroon Indicator for USDCNY entered a downward trend on August 18, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
Advertisement