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Jul 12, 2023
Choppy Market Trader: CRM 10.66% Gain with TA&FA Strategy

Choppy Market Trader: CRM 10.66% Gain with TA&FA Strategy

Choppy Market Trader, Popular Stocks: Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 10.66% for CRM

In a world where traditional stock picking is often tested by market volatility, technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) strategies have consistently shown their resilience. Demonstrating this resilience is the Market Neutral Strategy, which, recently, has generated a 10.66% return on CRM, a popular stock among traders.

One of the striking elements contributing to this impressive yield is the recent turn of CRM's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to positive territory. For those unfamiliar with this term, MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. When the MACD turns positive, it is often seen as a bullish signal, pointing to potential upward momentum in the price.

On July 11, 2023, CRM's MACD Histogram indicated a positive shift. This is not a standalone occurrence, but part of a larger pattern. A look back at past instances shows that whenever CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 46 cases over the following month. This gives traders a historical probability of 78% for a continued upward trend.

What's particularly interesting here is the effective use of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) in capturing these returns. This strategy is essentially about balancing long and short positions to achieve 'market neutrality'. In other words, the strategy aims to mitigate the effects of market swings, allowing the trader to focus on capturing returns from the individual stocks' performance.

By integrating the insights from CRM's MACD positive shift into this strategy, traders were able to leverage the high probability of the stock's upward trend and translate it into an impressive 10.66% return.

This instance underscores the efficacy of combining technical indicators like the MACD with a market-neutral trading strategy. It provides an excellent case study for traders and investors who are seeking to navigate choppy markets, highlighting the potential for positive returns even in the midst of market fluctuations.

Related Ticker: CRM

Contributor

Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.


CRM in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on July 29, 2026

The 10-day moving average for CRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 24, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CRM as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CRM just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CRM moved above its 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 207 cases where CRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.005) is normal, around the industry mean (28.722). P/E Ratio (24.238) is within average values for comparable stocks, (79.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.868) is also within normal values, averaging (1.755). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.548) is also within normal values, averaging (78.705).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.59B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 253.77B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 253.77B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. KNRX experienced the highest price growth at 54%, while CXAI experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 38% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of on-demand customer relationship management software technology

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