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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 12, 2023

Choppy Market Trader: CRM 10.66% Gain with TA&FA Strategy

Choppy Market Trader, Popular Stocks: Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 10.66% for CRM

In a world where traditional stock picking is often tested by market volatility, technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) strategies have consistently shown their resilience. Demonstrating this resilience is the Market Neutral Strategy, which, recently, has generated a 10.66% return on CRM, a popular stock among traders.

One of the striking elements contributing to this impressive yield is the recent turn of CRM's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to positive territory. For those unfamiliar with this term, MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. When the MACD turns positive, it is often seen as a bullish signal, pointing to potential upward momentum in the price.

On July 11, 2023, CRM's MACD Histogram indicated a positive shift. This is not a standalone occurrence, but part of a larger pattern. A look back at past instances shows that whenever CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 46 cases over the following month. This gives traders a historical probability of 78% for a continued upward trend.

What's particularly interesting here is the effective use of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) in capturing these returns. This strategy is essentially about balancing long and short positions to achieve 'market neutrality'. In other words, the strategy aims to mitigate the effects of market swings, allowing the trader to focus on capturing returns from the individual stocks' performance.

By integrating the insights from CRM's MACD positive shift into this strategy, traders were able to leverage the high probability of the stock's upward trend and translate it into an impressive 10.66% return.

This instance underscores the efficacy of combining technical indicators like the MACD with a market-neutral trading strategy. It provides an excellent case study for traders and investors who are seeking to navigate choppy markets, highlighting the potential for positive returns even in the midst of market fluctuations.

Related Ticker: CRM

CRM's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CRM turned positive on March 19, 2025. Looking at past instances where CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRM advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRM as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CRM entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.916) is normal, around the industry mean (30.873). P/E Ratio (71.967) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.445). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (2.727). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.532) is also within normal values, averaging (59.201).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CRM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. ICCT experienced the highest price growth at 415%, while LGMK experienced the biggest fall at -82%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 135%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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