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Serhii Bond's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 12, 2023

Choppy Market Trader: CRM 10.66% Gain with TA&FA Strategy

Choppy Market Trader, Popular Stocks: Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 10.66% for CRM

In a world where traditional stock picking is often tested by market volatility, technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) strategies have consistently shown their resilience. Demonstrating this resilience is the Market Neutral Strategy, which, recently, has generated a 10.66% return on CRM, a popular stock among traders.

One of the striking elements contributing to this impressive yield is the recent turn of CRM's Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to positive territory. For those unfamiliar with this term, MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. When the MACD turns positive, it is often seen as a bullish signal, pointing to potential upward momentum in the price.

On July 11, 2023, CRM's MACD Histogram indicated a positive shift. This is not a standalone occurrence, but part of a larger pattern. A look back at past instances shows that whenever CRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 46 cases over the following month. This gives traders a historical probability of 78% for a continued upward trend.

What's particularly interesting here is the effective use of the Market Neutral Strategy (TA&FA) in capturing these returns. This strategy is essentially about balancing long and short positions to achieve 'market neutrality'. In other words, the strategy aims to mitigate the effects of market swings, allowing the trader to focus on capturing returns from the individual stocks' performance.

By integrating the insights from CRM's MACD positive shift into this strategy, traders were able to leverage the high probability of the stock's upward trend and translate it into an impressive 10.66% return.

This instance underscores the efficacy of combining technical indicators like the MACD with a market-neutral trading strategy. It provides an excellent case study for traders and investors who are seeking to navigate choppy markets, highlighting the potential for positive returns even in the midst of market fluctuations.

Related Ticker: CRM

CRM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 03, 2024

CRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where CRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. MITI experienced the highest price growth at 111%, while RYDE experienced the biggest fall at -93%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 49% and the average quarterly volume growth was 14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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