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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 30, 2023

Citing strong brand momentum, Citi promotes Lululemon (LULU, $361.04) shares to a buy rating.

Lululemon, the popular athletic apparel company, has recently received an upgrade from Citigroup, which has upgraded Lululemon's shares to "buy" from "neutral." As a technical analyst, it is important to examine the factors behind this upgrade and assess the potential impact on the stock's performance.

One key factor that may have contributed to the upgrade is Lululemon's recent performance in the market. On March 24, 2023, the stock moved above its 50-day moving average, which is a commonly used technical indicator. This shift from a downward trend to an upward trend is a bullish signal, indicating that the stock may be poised for further gains.

To support this claim, historical data reveals that in 32 of 38 similar past instances when Lululemon's stock price moved above its 50-day moving average, the stock price increased further within the following month. This suggests that there is an 84% probability of a continued upward trend, which may have influenced Citigroup's decision to upgrade the stock.

Another factor that may have contributed to the upgrade is Lululemon's strong brand momentum. The company has built a loyal customer base by offering high-quality, fashionable athletic apparel that resonates with consumers. In addition, Lululemon has been expanding its product offerings to include new categories such as footwear and accessories, which has helped to drive growth.

Furthermore, Lululemon has been investing in its digital capabilities to enhance the customer experience and drive online sales. The company has a strong e-commerce platform and has been leveraging technology such as AI and data analytics to better understand customer preferences and personalize their shopping experience.

Overall, Citigroup's upgrade of Lululemon's shares to "buy" is likely based on the company's strong brand momentum and recent performance in the market. As a technical analyst, the upward trend in the stock price and historical data suggest that there is a high probability of further gains in the coming months. However, as with any investment, there are risks to consider, such as market volatility and potential changes in consumer behavior. It is essential to continue monitoring Lululemon's performance and industry trends to make informed investment decisions.

Related Ticker: LULU

LULU in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 19, 2023

LULU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where LULU's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LULU's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

LULU moved above its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where LULU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 11, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LULU as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for LULU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LULU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LULU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LULU's P/B Ratio (13.986) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.465). P/E Ratio (48.780) is within average values for comparable stocks, (109.693). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.713) is also within normal values, averaging (4.417). LULU has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (5.495) is also within normal values, averaging (1.528).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 10.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 107.63B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 107.63B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. JDSPY experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while ENMHF experienced the biggest fall at -80%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 105% and the average quarterly volume growth was 53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retailer of athletic apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1818 Cornwall Avenue
Phone
+1 604 732-6124
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.lululemon.com
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LULU and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LULU has been loosely correlated with GES. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LULU jumps, then GES could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To LULU
1D Price
Change %
LULU100%
-0.12%
GES - LULU
55%
Loosely correlated
+2.25%
SCVL - LULU
51%
Loosely correlated
+6.21%
ROST - LULU
51%
Loosely correlated
+0.55%
BKE - LULU
51%
Loosely correlated
+1.93%
ZUMZ - LULU
49%
Loosely correlated
+7.08%
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