Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 26, 2020

Cleveland-Cliffs(CLF, $8.67) posts Q3 loss narrower than analysts' expectation

Steelmaker Cleveland-Cliffs   reported  narrower-than-expected third-quarter loss.

The company posted a quarterly net loss of -2 cents a share, compared to net income of 33 cents in the year-earlier period. The result was better compared to the net loss of -10 cents a share  that analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected.

Revenue for the quarter tripled to $1.65 billion, from $555.6 million. FactSet analysts had expected $1.6 billion.  

According to the company, its main market which is the automotive industry underwent "unprecedented shutdowns" in the previous quarter, but Cleveland-Cliffs prepared its inventories for recovery.

In September, Cleveland-Cliffs   agreed to buy the U.S. operations of Luxembourg-based steel-and-mining company ArcelorMittal for $1.4 billion in cash and stock. The deal would make the company the largest producer of iron ore pellets. 

Related Ticker: CLF

CLF's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for CLF entered a downward trend on May 26, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 197 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 197 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CLF as a result. In of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for CLF moved below the 200-day moving average on May 16, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CLF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CLF just turned positive on May 09, 2023. Looking at past instances where CLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CLF advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.980) is normal, around the industry mean (2.052). P/E Ratio (15.601) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.467). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.204). CLF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.052). P/S Ratio (0.334) is also within normal values, averaging (3.251).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CLF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF), United States Steel Corp (NYSE:X), Arconic Corp (NYSE:ARNC).

Industry description

The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Steel Industry is 3.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.02K to 34.2B. NUE holds the highest valuation in this group at 34.2B. The lowest valued company is GCIN at 107.02K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. OLNCF experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while ERELY experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was 4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 64%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 29
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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