Coca-Cola (KO, $51.06) beats Q3 earnings estimates
Coca-Cola Co. reported third quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ estimates. However, the beverage behemoth did not provide a full-year profit guidance amid the coronavirus pandemic.
Coca-Cola’s adjusted non-GAAP earnings for the three months ending in September came in at 55 cents per share, down one penny year-over-year, but beating the Street expectations of 46 cents.
Net sales fell -9% to $8.65 billion, beating expectations of $8.36 billion.
Organic sales dropped -6%. Unit case volume (which helps measure demand without the impact of pricing or foreign currency) declined -4%.
The company mentioned quarter-over-quarter improvements in demand. While the pandemic continues to pose challenges to demand at movie theaters, restaurants and office buildings, Coke said at-home demand is still strong. Thanks to higher sales at fast-food restaurants and convenience stores, away-from-home volume fell by the mid-teens this quarter, an improvement from its low of 50%.
Tickeron's analysis shows:
KO sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day Moving Average for KO moved above the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2020. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Current price $51.07 crossed the support line at $49.56 and is trading between $52.41 support and $49.56 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/21/20 - 10/21/20, the price experienced a +2% Uptrend, while the week of 10/14/20 - 10/21/20 shows a -0.26% Downtrend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KO as a result. In 33 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 35%.
KO moved above its 50-day Moving Average on September 24, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KO advanced for three days, in 110 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 33%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 131 of 321 cases where KO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KO moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 8 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 21%.
The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 17 of 77 cases where KO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 22%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KO turned negative on October 19, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 12 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 21%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 20%.
KO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 40%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.35 to 1.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.28) is normal, around the industry mean (8.73). P/E Ratio (23.51) is within average values for comparable stocks, (141.14). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.68) is also within normal values, averaging (1.12). KO has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.89) as compared to the industry average of (1.33). P/S Ratio (5.49) is also within normal values, averaging (5.94).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
KO in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 30, 2026
KO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 18 of 40 cases where KO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KO advanced for three days, in 148 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KO as a result. In 31 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KO turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 17 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 35%.
KO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.
The Aroon Indicator for KO entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.373) is normal, around the industry mean (6.793). P/E Ratio (26.180) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.051). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.960) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. KO's P/S Ratio (7.559) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.785).
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a manufacturer of non-alcoholic beverages
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic
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