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Oct 20, 2023

Coffee Industry Tickers ($JVA, $SBUX, $FARM, $THS, $KDP) Surge +5.43% in Weekly Performance

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Coffee, a beloved and enduring part of daily life for many, has recently seen a significant uptick in performance. Over the past week, the coffee industry, represented by a group of companies including JVA, SBUX, FARM, THS, and KDP, has experienced an impressive increase of +5.43%. This surge in performance is indicative of a broader positive trend in the coffee market, where various factors are contributing to its success.

Theme Description

The coffee industry encompasses producers and restaurants specializing in coffee production. Iconic names such as Starbucks (SBUX), Dunkin Brands Group (now part of Inspire Brands), and Coffee Holding (JVA) are well-known players in this industry. Coffee, a daily staple for many, has evolved over the years, offering consumers a wide variety of choices. These coffee companies have played a pivotal role in shaping and serving this evolving market globally.

Positive Outlook with Strong Indicators

The coffee industry, represented by these stocks, currently exhibits a positive outlook, supported by a 15-indicator stock Fear & Greed Index. Tickeron predicts a further increase of more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 57%. In the past month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was balanced at 1 to 1.29.

Notably, four stocks in this group share a positive trend based on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, with an average likelihood of 73% for continued upward movement.

Market Capitalization

The coffee theme boasts an average market capitalization of approximately 30 billion USD. However, there's a wide range within this group, with SBUX holding the highest valuation at an impressive 107.9 billion USD. In contrast, JVA is at the lower end of the spectrum with a market capitalization of 4.3 million USD.

High and Low Price Movements

Price movements across the coffee stocks in the group show varying trends over different time frames. The average weekly price growth across these stocks was a substantial 6.04%. For the same theme, the average monthly price growth was -9.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.37%. Among these stocks, FARM stands out with the highest weekly price growth at 15.09%, while KDP experienced a notable fall of 1.97%.

Additionally, let's take a closer look at recent notable price movements:

  • On 9/19/23, Farmer Brothers (FARM) rose significantly by +21.54%, making it a top weekly gainer among penny stocks.
  • On 8/18/23, Starbucks (SBUX) declined by -5.01%, marking it as a top loser for that week.
  • On 8/1/23, Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) had a strong week with a +5.16% increase in its stock price.

Volume Trends

Volume trends, an important aspect of stock performance, also reveal interesting insights about this group of coffee stocks. The average weekly volume growth across these stocks was -35.85%. Looking at longer-term trends, the average monthly volume growth was -31.69%, and the average quarterly volume growth was -21.69%.

Recent notable volume movements include:

  • On 9/16/23, Keurig Dr Pepper's stock witnessed a remarkable one-day increase, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 310% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.
  • On 9/16/23, Farmer Brothers' stock experienced a four-day consecutive increase in volume, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 188% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.
  • On 9/15/23, Farmer Brothers' stock similarly had three consecutive days of increased volume, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 203% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Individual Stock Highlights

  1. JVA's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line

    • The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JVA turned positive on October 16, 2023. In the past, when JVA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 out of 61 cases over the following month, indicating a 74% likelihood of a continued upward trend. The current price of $0.74 is below the lowest support line of $0.97. Over recent weeks, JVA experienced a -14% downtrend in September and a subsequent 9% uptrend in October.
  2. SBUX's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line

    • SBUX's MACD turned positive on October 06, 2023. Historically, when SBUX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 54 cases over the following month, with a 69% likelihood of an upward trend. The current price of $94.42 is trading between a support line at $91.62 and a resistance line at $97.71. Over the past month, SBUX experienced a -3% downtrend followed by a 2% uptrend in October.
  3. FARM's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line

    • FARM's MACD turned positive on October 17, 2023. Looking at historical instances, when FARM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 out of 39 cases over the following month, indicating a 77% likelihood of an upward trend. The current price of $2.67 is below the lowest support line at $4.97. Over the past month, FARM has enjoyed a remarkable 15% uptrend and continued this trend with a 15% uptrend during the week of 10/11/23 - 10/18/23.

In conclusion, the coffee industry is currently experiencing strong performance, with favorable market indicators, positive outlooks for individual stocks, and notable price and volume movements. This group of coffee-related companies, including JVA, SBUX, FARM, THS, and KDP, is positioned well for potential growth and continued success in the coming months.

Related Ticker: SBUX, FARM, JVA, THS, KDP

SBUX in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on March 10, 2025

SBUX moved below its 50-day moving average on March 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 49 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 04, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SBUX as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SBUX turned negative on February 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for SBUX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SBUX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 210 cases where SBUX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (4.704). P/E Ratio (32.026) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.242). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.475) is also within normal values, averaging (1.972). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.122) is also within normal values, averaging (8.567).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 8.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 219.34B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 219.34B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. JBFCF experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while NIHL experienced the biggest fall at -58%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -33% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a producer of coffee and tea

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
2401 Utah Avenue South
Phone
+1 206 447-1575
Employees
381000
Web
https://www.starbucks.com
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