Comcast (CMCSA, $37.90) Wins Sky At $22.65 Bid, And Loses 7% Of Its Own Stock Price
In its latest deal, Sky’s the limit for Comcast (quite literally), but did it pay too high a price for it? On Saturday, the U.S. cable television giant outbid 21st Century Fox at an auction to acquire European pay-TV broadcaster Sky Plc. At the end of three rounds of bidding, it was decided that Comcast will acquire Sky at £17.28 ($22.65) per share, thereby valuing the latter at around £30.6 billion ($40.1 billion).
Comcast shareholders/investors are reportedly concerned that the company might have paid too high a price (more than twice Fox's initial bid in December 2016) for the acquisition. Comcast shares fell -7% in New York. Sky's stock, on the other hand, moved up +8.6% to £17.22 ($22.58) in London.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CMCSA's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for CMCSA entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 212 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 134 of the 212 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMCSA as a result. In 58 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMCSA turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.
CMCSA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CMCSA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMCSA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 19 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMCSA advanced for three days, in 155 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
CMCSA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CMCSA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.861) is normal, around the industry mean (10.715). P/E Ratio (6.984) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.181). CMCSA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (138.924) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (8.005). Dividend Yield (0.061) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.689) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CMCSA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of entertainment, information and communications products and services
Industry MajorTelecommunications
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