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May 30, 2023

Comparing Price Growth and Earning Dates: HCP vs. MDB in the Packaged Software Industry

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In the comparison between HCP and MDB, several factors stand out when evaluating these companies in the Packaged Software industry. Firstly, the stock prices of HCP and MDB differ significantly, with HCP trading at $32.98 and MDB at $283.36. In terms of brand notoriety, MDB is considered notable, while HCP is not.

Looking at the current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average, both companies have higher volumes compared to their moving averages, with HCP at 120% and MDB at 125%. Moving on to market capitalization, HCP is valued at $6.32 billion, whereas MDB's market capitalization is $19.99 billion. It is worth noting that the market capitalization of companies in the Packaged Software industry ranges from $2.48 trillion to $0, with an average of $7.7 billion.

For a long-term analysis, it is advisable to consider Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. These ratings range from 1 to 100, with lower scores indicating undervaluation, middle scores indicating fair valuation, and higher scores indicating overvaluation. HCP's FA Score reveals that one FA rating is green (undervalued), while MDB has zero green FA ratings. HCP's overall FA Score consists of one green and four red ratings, while MDB has zero green and five red ratings. Based on these scores, HCP appears to be a better long-term investment compared to MDB.

In terms of short-term analysis, Technical Analysis (TA) indicators come into play. The Odds of Success, representing the likelihood of a trend's continuation, are used to generate signals. A green percentage from 90% to 51% suggests a bullish trend, while a red percentage within the same range indicates a bearish trend. HCP's TA Score shows six bullish and four bearish TA indicators, while MDB's TA Score also has six bullish and four bearish indicators. Therefore, in the short term, HCP is deemed a better buy than MDB.

Regarding price growth, HCP experienced a price change of +0.76% this week, whereas MDB's price change was +2.97% during the same period. Across the entire Packaged Software industry, the average weekly price growth was +0.18%. Looking at the monthly and quarterly averages, the industry experienced +7.72% and +25.09% price growth, respectively.

Lastly, HCP is expected to report earnings on September 1, 2023, while MDB is expected to report earnings on August 31, 2023.

Related Ticker: HCP

HCP sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

HCP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 14, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 27 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for HCP moved out of overbought territory on June 13, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 12 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HCP as a result. In of 52 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HCP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HCP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HCP advanced for three days, in of 189 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 123 cases where HCP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.246) is normal, around the industry mean (30.421). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.675). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.576) is also within normal values, averaging (56.972).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HCP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HCP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. LGIQ experienced the highest price growth at 93%, while WBSR experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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