Constellation Brands Inc. reported a substantial decline in profits in the latest quarter, and lowered its earnings outlook for fiscal 2019. Its shares dropped more than -10% Wednesday, following the announcement.
The beverage maker said that net income for its fiscal quarter ending November 30, decreased around -38% to $303.1 million (or $1.56 a share) - from $492.8 million (or $2.45 a share) a year earlier. A spike in freight and marketing costs as well as interest costs related to its investment in Canopy Growth were cited as major factors in squeezing earnings. In November 2017, Constellation Brands made an initial investment of $191.3 million in cannabis company Canopy Growth, and has exercised several options to buy additional shares – thereby adding to transaction and interest costs. Constellation’s operating margin in the period decreased 60 basis points to 37.3%.
The company made a downward revision to its fiscal 2019 profit outlook to a range of $9.20 to $9.30 a share, compared to prior forecast of $9.60 to $9.75 a share.
However, sales were a bright spot. Net sales rose +9.5% to $1.97 billion in the quarter, beating analysts' estimates of $1.91 billion. Its beer sales surged +16% to $1.21 billion.
The RSI Oscillator for STZ moved out of oversold territory on September 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on September 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STZ as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on October 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: STZ's P/B Ratio (3.277) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.042). P/E Ratio (20.438) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.598). STZ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.126) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.328). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. STZ's P/S Ratio (2.608) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.364).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an alcoholic beverages distributor
Industry FoodMeatFishDairy