Constellation Brands Inc. reported a substantial decline in profits in the latest quarter, and lowered its earnings outlook for fiscal 2019. Its shares dropped more than -10% Wednesday, following the announcement.
The beverage maker said that net income for its fiscal quarter ending November 30, decreased around -38% to $303.1 million (or $1.56 a share) - from $492.8 million (or $2.45 a share) a year earlier. A spike in freight and marketing costs as well as interest costs related to its investment in Canopy Growth were cited as major factors in squeezing earnings. In November 2017, Constellation Brands made an initial investment of $191.3 million in cannabis company Canopy Growth, and has exercised several options to buy additional shares – thereby adding to transaction and interest costs. Constellation’s operating margin in the period decreased 60 basis points to 37.3%.
The company made a downward revision to its fiscal 2019 profit outlook to a range of $9.20 to $9.30 a share, compared to prior forecast of $9.60 to $9.75 a share.
However, sales were a bright spot. Net sales rose +9.5% to $1.97 billion in the quarter, beating analysts' estimates of $1.91 billion. Its beer sales surged +16% to $1.21 billion.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where STZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on July 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on August 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STZ as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on August 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.807) is normal, around the industry mean (2.177). P/E Ratio (12.920) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.236). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.725) is also within normal values, averaging (2.501). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. STZ's P/S Ratio (2.609) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.582).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an alcoholic beverages distributor
Industry FoodMeatFishDairy