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Jan 09, 2019
Constellation Brands (STZ, $172.34) Reports -38% Drop in Profit, But Positive Sales Growth

Constellation Brands (STZ, $172.34) Reports -38% Drop in Profit, But Positive Sales Growth

Constellation Brands Inc. reported a substantial decline in profits in the latest quarter, and lowered its earnings outlook for fiscal 2019. Its shares dropped more than -10% Wednesday, following the announcement.

The beverage maker said that net income for its fiscal quarter ending November 30, decreased around -38% to $303.1 million (or $1.56 a share) - from $492.8 million (or $2.45 a share) a year earlier. A spike in  freight and marketing costs as well as interest costs related to its investment in Canopy Growth were cited as major factors in squeezing earnings. In November 2017, Constellation Brands made an initial investment of $191.3 million in cannabis company Canopy Growth, and has exercised several options to buy additional shares – thereby adding to transaction and interest costs. Constellation’s operating margin in the period decreased 60 basis points to 37.3%.

The company made a downward revision to its fiscal 2019 profit outlook to a range of  $9.20 to $9.30 a share, compared to prior forecast of $9.60 to $9.75 a share.

However, sales were a bright spot. Net sales rose +9.5% to $1.97 billion in the quarter, beating analysts' estimates of $1.91 billion. Its beer sales surged +16% to $1.21 billion.

Related Ticker: STZ

STZ in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on April 13, 2026

The 10-day moving average for STZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STZ as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on March 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on April 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 230 cases where STZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for STZ moved out of overbought territory on April 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where STZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: STZ's P/B Ratio (3.367) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.988). P/E Ratio (16.332) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.155). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.907) is also within normal values, averaging (2.644). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. STZ's P/S Ratio (3.015) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.396).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 25.54B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 317.04K to 145.92B. BUDFF holds the highest valuation in this group at 145.92B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 317.04K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. BDWBY experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while ROYUF experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. STZ showed earnings on April 08, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Profile
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
207 High Point Drive
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
10700
Web
https://www.cbrands.com
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