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Jan 09, 2019
Constellation Brands (STZ, $172.34) Reports -38% Drop in Profit, But Positive Sales Growth

Constellation Brands (STZ, $172.34) Reports -38% Drop in Profit, But Positive Sales Growth

Constellation Brands Inc. reported a substantial decline in profits in the latest quarter, and lowered its earnings outlook for fiscal 2019. Its shares dropped more than -10% Wednesday, following the announcement.

The beverage maker said that net income for its fiscal quarter ending November 30, decreased around -38% to $303.1 million (or $1.56 a share) - from $492.8 million (or $2.45 a share) a year earlier. A spike in  freight and marketing costs as well as interest costs related to its investment in Canopy Growth were cited as major factors in squeezing earnings. In November 2017, Constellation Brands made an initial investment of $191.3 million in cannabis company Canopy Growth, and has exercised several options to buy additional shares – thereby adding to transaction and interest costs. Constellation’s operating margin in the period decreased 60 basis points to 37.3%.

The company made a downward revision to its fiscal 2019 profit outlook to a range of  $9.20 to $9.30 a share, compared to prior forecast of $9.60 to $9.75 a share.

However, sales were a bright spot. Net sales rose +9.5% to $1.97 billion in the quarter, beating analysts' estimates of $1.91 billion. Its beer sales surged +16% to $1.21 billion.

Related Ticker: STZ

STZ in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on July 06, 2026

STZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 41 cases where STZ's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for STZ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STZ as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for STZ turned negative on July 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for STZ moved below the 200-day moving average on July 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on June 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.696) is normal, around the industry mean (2.199). P/E Ratio (12.413) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.189). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.478) is also within normal values, averaging (2.723). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.507) is also within normal values, averaging (1.579).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 40B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 317.04K to 155.34B. BUD holds the highest valuation in this group at 155.34B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 317.04K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. CCU experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while STZ experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 25
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: -41 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Profile
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
207 High Point Drive
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
10700
Web
https://www.cbrands.com
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