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Aug 26, 2019
Constellation Brands' (STZ, $199.34) fiscal Q2 loss from its Canopy Growth (CGC, $25.25) stake would be -$38.5 million

Constellation Brands' (STZ, $199.34) fiscal Q2 loss from its Canopy Growth (CGC, $25.25) stake would be -$38.5 million

Beverage major Constellation Brands mentioned in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Monday that adjusted losses from its stake in Canopy Growth would amount to -$38.5 million, in its fiscal second quarter ending Aug. 31.

Constellation made a $4 billion investment (i.e. 37% stake) in the Canada-based cannabis company last year. It recognizes equity earnings from its equity-method investment in Canopy on a two-month lag.

For the two quarters ending Aug. 31, its share of Canopy loss will be -$77.3 million on an adjusted basis.

Constellation shares went up +0.6% in premarket trading, and Canopy's U.S.-listed stock climbed +1.6%.

Related Ticker: STZ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


STZ in -0.17% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 02, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where STZ declined for three days, in 177 of 289 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on STZ as a result. In 53 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where STZ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 30 of 66 cases where STZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Following a +2.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in 159 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

STZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 17 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.336) is normal, around the industry mean (2.040). P/E Ratio (10.754) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.716). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.436) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.366) is also within normal values, averaging (1.539).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 38.11B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 128.95K to 151.59B. BUDFF holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.59B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 128.95K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. ABEV experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while FMX experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 33% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 24
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 51 (-100 ... +100)
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an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
50 East Broad Street
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
9400
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https://www.cbrands.com
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