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Aug 26, 2019
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Constellation Brands' (STZ, $199.34) fiscal Q2 loss from its Canopy Growth (CGC, $25.25) stake would be -$38.5 million

Constellation Brands' (STZ, $199.34) fiscal Q2 loss from its Canopy Growth (CGC, $25.25) stake would be -$38.5 million

Beverage major Constellation Brands mentioned in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission Monday that adjusted losses from its stake in Canopy Growth would amount to -$38.5 million, in its fiscal second quarter ending Aug. 31.

Constellation made a $4 billion investment (i.e. 37% stake) in the Canada-based cannabis company last year. It recognizes equity earnings from its equity-method investment in Canopy on a two-month lag.

For the two quarters ending Aug. 31, its share of Canopy loss will be -$77.3 million on an adjusted basis.

Constellation shares went up +0.6% in premarket trading, and Canopy's U.S.-listed stock climbed +1.6%.

Related Ticker: STZ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


STZ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026

STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 49 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STZ as a result. In 40 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 14 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 35%.

The 10-day moving average for STZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Following a +5.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in 152 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for STZ moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: STZ's P/B Ratio (2.799) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.256). P/E Ratio (12.864) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.039). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.436) is also within normal values, averaging (2.082). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.366) is also within normal values, averaging (1.539).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. STZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry is 39.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 128.95K to 158.28B. BUD holds the highest valuation in this group at 158.28B. The lowest valued company is ENHD at 128.95K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. SAM experienced the highest price growth at -0%, while ABEV experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy Industry was 29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 84% and the average quarterly volume growth was 106%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 90
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry FoodMeatFishDairy

Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
50 East Broad Street
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
9400
Web
https://www.cbrands.com
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