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Apr 08, 2021

Constellation Brands (STZ, $223.46) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Beverage company Constellation Brands  posted  fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of  beer sales strength and demand for high-end beverages.

The  company’s diluted net earnings for the three months ending in February fell -5.3% from the year-ago quarter to $1.95 per share. Adjusted per-share earnings came in at $1.82, well above FactSet consensus of $1.58. 

Revenues increased +3% year-over-year to $1.953 billion, compared to analysts' estimates of $1.9 billion tally.  The company’s beer business was bolstered by a strong performance at off-premise channels, which more than offset weakness in on-premise channels with many bars and restaurants operating at limited capacity during the pandemic. Modelo Especial was number 1 import share gainer. Its wine and spirits business, high-end wine brands were driven by double-digit growth for Kim Crawford, Meiomi and The Prisoner Brand family.

Looking ahead, the company is projecting EPS to range from $6.90 to $7.20 and adjusted EPS excluding Canopy to range from $9.95 to $10.25 for fiscal 2022. The current FactSet consensus expectation for EPS is $10.43.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: STZ

STZ in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024

The 10-day moving average for STZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 22, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on STZ as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for STZ just turned positive on February 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where STZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

STZ moved above its 50-day moving average on February 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 50-day moving average for STZ moved above the 200-day moving average on March 01, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where STZ advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where STZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

STZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for STZ entered a downward trend on February 16, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.826) is normal, around the industry mean (2.762). P/E Ratio (29.002) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.364). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.102) is also within normal values, averaging (2.133). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.831) is also within normal values, averaging (5.282).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. STZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 19.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.66K to 19.33T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.33T. The lowest valued company is WBEVQ at 2.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SBEV experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while FMXUF experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 126%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 173% and the average quarterly volume growth was 123%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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STZDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an alcoholic beverages distributor

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
207 High Point Drive
Phone
+1 585 678-7100
Employees
10700
Web
https://www.cbrands.com
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STZ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with TAP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then TAP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
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NAME
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To STZ
1D Price
Change %
STZ100%
+0.60%
TAP - STZ
45%
Loosely correlated
-0.46%
NAPA - STZ
38%
Loosely correlated
+0.63%
SAM - STZ
34%
Loosely correlated
-1.19%
MGPI - STZ
34%
Loosely correlated
+0.97%
DEO - STZ
32%
Poorly correlated
-0.06%
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