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published in Blogs
Jun 01, 2020
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Coty (COTY, $4.35) has a new CEO, following Forbes report on Kylie Jenner

Coty (COTY, $4.35) has a new CEO, following Forbes report on Kylie Jenner

Coty Inc. announced its new CEO, following allegations that Kylie Jenner had overstated her personal wealth to inflate the value of a brand sold to the cosmetics company.

Coty Chairman Peter Harf is set to replace the outgoing Pierre Laubies as CEO .The company will form a three-person executive committee intended to ensure  that Coty takes the right steps towards becoming a more profitable business and delivering on its commitments.

On Friday, a report from Forbes suggested that Jenner, who sold 51% of her 'Kyle Cosmetics' line to Coty last year for around $600 million, had inflated its value to the media.

Jenner said the report was full of "a number of inaccurate statements and unproven assumptions."

Tickeron's A.I.-powered scorecard rates Coty a HOLD.

Current price $4.35 is below $9.58 the lowest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 04/28/20 - 05/29/20, the price experienced a -38% Downtrend, while the week of 05/21/20 - 05/29/20 shows a +9% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a Downtrend to an Uptrend -- in cases where COTY's RSI indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 43 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 27, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 51 of 88 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where COTY's MACD histogram became positive, in 19 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 38 of 53 cases where COTY's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 72%.

Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where COTY declined for three days, in 257 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 208 of 286 cases where COTY Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 73%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 63%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.22.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.74) is normal, around the industry mean (-34.17). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.86). COTY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.33). COTY has a moderately high Dividend Yield (3.73) as compared to the industry average of (2.07). COTY's P/S Ratio (0.49) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.08).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COTY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: COTY

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


COTY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COTY turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where COTY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COTY as a result. In 58 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

COTY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for COTY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +4.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COTY advanced for three days, in 196 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 105 of 163 cases where COTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 19 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

COTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.002) is normal, around the industry mean (21.031). P/E Ratio (-4.857) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.583). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.182) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). COTY's Dividend Yield (0.147) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.397) is also within normal values, averaging (1.931).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COTY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 25.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 60.48K to 375.27B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 375.27B. The lowest valued company is EOSS at 60.48K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. SLSN experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while TANH experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 148%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 94% and the average quarterly volume growth was 36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a maker of beauty products, fragrances, color cosmetics and skin care products

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
350 Fifth Avenue
Phone
+1 212 389-7300
Employees
11335
Web
https://www.coty.com
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