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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 01, 2020

Coty (COTY, $4.35) has a new CEO, following Forbes report on Kylie Jenner

Coty Inc. announced its new CEO, following allegations that Kylie Jenner had overstated her personal wealth to inflate the value of a brand sold to the cosmetics company.

Coty Chairman Peter Harf is set to replace the outgoing Pierre Laubies as CEO .The company will form a three-person executive committee intended to ensure  that Coty takes the right steps towards becoming a more profitable business and delivering on its commitments.

On Friday, a report from Forbes suggested that Jenner, who sold 51% of her 'Kyle Cosmetics' line to Coty last year for around $600 million, had inflated its value to the media.

Jenner said the report was full of "a number of inaccurate statements and unproven assumptions."

Tickeron's A.I.-powered scorecard rates Coty a HOLD.

Current price $4.35 is below $9.58 the lowest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 04/28/20 - 05/29/20, the price experienced a -38% Downtrend, while the week of 05/21/20 - 05/29/20 shows a +9% Uptrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a Downtrend to an Uptrend -- in cases where COTY's RSI indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 43 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 27, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 51 of 88 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where COTY's MACD histogram became positive, in 19 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 38 of 53 cases where COTY's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 72%.

Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where COTY declined for three days, in 257 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 208 of 286 cases where COTY Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 73%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 63%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.22.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.74) is normal, around the industry mean (-34.17). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.86). COTY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.33). COTY has a moderately high Dividend Yield (3.73) as compared to the industry average of (2.07). COTY's P/S Ratio (0.49) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.08).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COTY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: COTY

COTY's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for COTY moved out of oversold territory on April 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COTY advanced for three days, in of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 07, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COTY as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COTY turned negative on May 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COTY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for COTY entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COTY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.406) is normal, around the industry mean (16.558). P/E Ratio (33.971) is within average values for comparable stocks, (199.024). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.933) is also within normal values, averaging (3.746). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.106) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.753) is also within normal values, averaging (109.224).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 23.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 81.32K to 381.78B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 381.78B. The lowest valued company is QNTA at 81.32K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. BRSH experienced the highest price growth at 95%, while SNBH experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 203%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 204% and the average quarterly volume growth was 101%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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COTYDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a maker of beauty products, fragrances, color cosmetics and skin care products

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
350 Fifth Avenue
Phone
+1 212 389-7300
Employees
11350
Web
https://www.coty.com
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