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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 09, 2021

Coty (COTY, $6.63) misses revenue expectations; beats earnings forecast

Coty   posted sales that were below expectations. It adjusted earnings, however, beat estimates.

The beauty company’s adjusted net income came in 17 cents a share, for its fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, vs. 27 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected per-share earnings of 7 cents.

Excluding adjustments, the company had a loss of -36 cents a share vs. a -3-cent loss a year ago.

Coty’s revenue fell -15.9% year-over-year to $1.415 billion, just below the FactSet consensus of $1.433 billion. Sales in the Americas and EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) regions missed expectations, but Asia Pacific sales exceeded forecasts.

According to the company, despite continued disruptions to sales and short-term orders related to the COVID-19 pandemic, it will start raising commercial investments ahead of fiscal 2022. It raised its full-year cost cutting goal to $300 million.

Related Ticker: COTY

COTY sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for COTY moved below the 200-day moving average on May 20, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COTY turned negative on May 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COTY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for COTY entered a downward trend on June 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where COTY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 67 cases where COTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COTY advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. COTY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.406) is normal, around the industry mean (16.558). P/E Ratio (33.971) is within average values for comparable stocks, (199.024). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.933) is also within normal values, averaging (3.746). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.106) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.753) is also within normal values, averaging (109.224).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 24.1B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 81.32K to 381.78B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 381.78B. The lowest valued company is QNTA at 81.32K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. SKVI experienced the highest price growth at 50%, while SPCO experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -63% and the average quarterly volume growth was -78%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a maker of beauty products, fragrances, color cosmetics and skin care products

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
350 Fifth Avenue
Phone
+1 212 389-7300
Employees
11350
Web
https://www.coty.com
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