Coty (COTY, $6.63) misses revenue expectations; beats earnings forecast
Coty posted sales that were below expectations. It adjusted earnings, however, beat estimates.
The beauty company’s adjusted net income came in 17 cents a share, for its fiscal second quarter ended Dec. 31, vs. 27 cents a share, in the year-ago quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected per-share earnings of 7 cents.
Excluding adjustments, the company had a loss of -36 cents a share vs. a -3-cent loss a year ago.
Coty’s revenue fell -15.9% year-over-year to $1.415 billion, just below the FactSet consensus of $1.433 billion. Sales in the Americas and EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) regions missed expectations, but Asia Pacific sales exceeded forecasts.
According to the company, despite continued disruptions to sales and short-term orders related to the COVID-19 pandemic, it will start raising commercial investments ahead of fiscal 2022. It raised its full-year cost cutting goal to $300 million.
Momentum Indicator for COTY turns negative, indicating new downward trend
COTY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on June 17, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COTY turned negative on June 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
COTY moved below its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COTY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COTY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COTY advanced for three days, in of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
COTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 177 cases where COTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. COTY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.406) is normal, around the industry mean (17.380). P/E Ratio (33.971) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.933) is also within normal values, averaging (3.832). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.753) is also within normal values, averaging (116.662).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a maker of beauty products, fragrances, color cosmetics and skin care products
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare
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