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Feb 20, 2019
CVS beats on Q4 but long-term care business loses

CVS beats on Q4 but long-term care business loses

CVS Health beat fourth-quarter earnings forecasts, but its long-term care business took a $2.2-billion hit out of the company's performance, and its initial 2019 forecast was weaker than expected.

CEO Larry Merlo said in a prepared statement that 2019 would be "a year of transition" as the company integrates the health insurer Aetna, which it purchased in a roughly $69 billion deal last year. A federal judge is still evaluating the acquisition. Earnings adjusted for one-time items totaled $2.14 per share, as revenue jumped more than 12 per cent to $54.24 billion. Analysts expected earnings of $2.09 per share and $54.61 billion in revenue.

Related Ticker: CVS

Aroon Indicator for CVS shows an upward move is likely

CVS's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 15, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 246 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 246 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVS as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVS just turned positive on June 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVS advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVS moved out of overbought territory on June 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where CVS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CVS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.669) is normal, around the industry mean (4.960). P/E Ratio (44.430) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.571). CVS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.285) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.298). CVS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.026) as compared to the industry average of (0.019). P/S Ratio (0.317) is also within normal values, averaging (0.651).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CVS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Unitedhealth Group (NYSE:UNH), CVS HEALTH Corp (NYSE:CVS), Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV), Cigna Group (The) (NYSE:CI), Humana (NYSE:HUM), Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC).

Industry description

Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Managed Health Care Industry is 69.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.01M to 369.32B. UNH holds the highest valuation in this group at 369.32B. The lowest valued company is IHGP at 1.01M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 14%, and the average quarterly price growth was 37%. ALHC experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while HUM experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 43% and the average quarterly volume growth was 188%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 31
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an integrated pharmacy health care provider

Industry ManagedHealthCare

Profile
Details
Industry
Drugstore Chains
Address
One CVS Drive
Phone
+1 401 765-1500
Employees
300000
Web
https://www.cvshealth.com
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CVS beats on Q4 but long-term care business loses