Delta Air Lines (DAL, $33.73) is expected to report earnings to fall -78% to 32 cents per share on April 13
Delta Airlines (DAL) is set to report earnings on April 13, with expectations for earnings per share (EPS) to fall -78% to 32 cents per share. This forecasted decline in earnings is likely due to the continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the airline industry.
To gain a better understanding of DAL's financial performance, let's examine some key metrics from their last earnings report on December 31. DAL reported EPS of $1.48, which missed the estimated EPS of $1.32. The Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 3.369 is within the industry mean of 144.142, indicating that the stock is not overvalued compared to its peers. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.779 is also within average values for comparable stocks (56.073). The Projected Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.265 is considered normal and falls within the average range of 0.450 for the industry. However, the Dividend Yield of 0.000 is lower than the average of 0.041 for similar stocks. The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 0.438 is also within normal values and averages 0.764.
Furthermore, DAL has a market capitalization of 22.17B and 9.77M shares outstanding. These metrics indicate that DAL is a large-cap stock with a moderate valuation compared to its peers.
In addition to financial metrics, technical analysis can also provide insights into DAL's stock performance. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular technical indicator used to analyze stock trends. DAL's MACD histogram turned positive on March 31, 2023. Historically, when DAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 out of 42 cases over the following month. This indicates that there is a 76% probability of a continued upward trend in DAL's stock price.
While the upcoming earnings report is expected to show a decline in earnings, DAL's financial and technical indicators suggest that the stock is performing relatively well compared to its industry peers. Investors should continue to monitor DAL's financial performance and technical indicators to make informed investment decisions.
DAL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DAL turned positive on May 16, 2023. Looking at past instances where DAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DAL as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DAL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 17, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 18, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAL advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 222 cases where DAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for DAL moved below the 200-day moving average on May 16, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 17, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.685) is normal, around the industry mean (74.530). P/E Ratio (12.077) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.591). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.270) is also within normal values, averaging (0.447). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.426) is also within normal values, averaging (0.970).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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