Delta (DAL, $32.19) projects -90% y-o-y plunge in Q2 revenue

On Wednesday, Delta Air Lines  mentioned in a regulatory filing that is anticipating second-quarter revenue to decline -90% year-over-year, on the effect of the covid-19 crisis.

The airline also mentioned in the filing that is expecting  systemwide capacity to be down -85%, compared to the June 2019 quarter.

The company expects to reduce its average daily cash outflow to about $40 million by June 30,  from about $100 million at March 31. By year’s end, the airline has a target of lowering cash burn to zero.  

Delta said it had received $3.8 billion in funding through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security, or Cares, Act.  Also, it had raised more than $10 billion since early March , including issuing $3.5 billion of senior secured notes due 2027, and also through two secured term loan facilities, with total net proceeds of about $4.4 billion. 

DAL in Uptrend: RSI indicator stops in overbought zone for 4 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Current price $32.19 crossed the resistance line at $24.54 and is trading between $53.79 resistance and $24.54 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/07/20 - 06/09/20, the price experienced a +58% Uptrend. During the week of 06/02/20 - 06/09/20, the stock enjoyed a +29% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 28 of 47 cases where DAL's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 60%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 26, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 54 of 79 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where DAL's MACD histogram became positive, in 28 of 43 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 30 of 45 similar backtested cases where DAL's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on June 01, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 13 of 20 similar cases where DAL's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 62%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.78 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.52) is normal, around the industry mean (2.06). P/E Ratio (6.35) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.59). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.27) is also within normal values, averaging (1.63). DAL has a moderately high Dividend Yield (2.57) as compared to the industry average of (0.95). P/S Ratio (0.40) is also within normal values, averaging (0.49).