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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 16, 2021

Delta (DAL, $46.82) posts wider-than-expected Q1 loss

On Thursday, Delta Airlines reported quarterly loss that was steeper than analysts’ anticipated.

The airline reported an adjusted loss of -$3.55 for the first quarter, versus -$3.17 a share loss expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue of $4.15 billion, however came in higher than the  $3.91 billion expected by analysts.

The company expects to break even in June, with rebound in travel following COVID19-induced slump. It said that domestic leisure bookings recovered to about 85% of 2019 levels; but international and business travel remain affected.

For its second quarter, Delta predicts that revenue will be 50% to 55% lower than the same period of 2019, on scheduled capacity that’s a third lower than two years ago. Delta’s costs, excluding fuel, will be 6% to 9% higher in the second quarter, according to the company.  

 

Related Ticker: DAL

DAL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DAL turned positive on May 16, 2023. Looking at past instances where DAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DAL as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DAL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 17, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 18, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAL advanced for three days, in of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 227 cases where DAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for DAL moved below the 200-day moving average on May 16, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 17, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.810) is normal, around the industry mean (83.325). P/E Ratio (12.484) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.085). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.279) is also within normal values, averaging (0.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.441) is also within normal values, averaging (1.092).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 6.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 246.81K to 23.79B. DAL holds the highest valuation in this group at 23.79B. The lowest valued company is GLUX at 246.81K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. LTMAY experienced the highest price growth at 71%, while AICAF experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -57%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -65% and the average quarterly volume growth was -71%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -34 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of scheduled air transportation for passengers, freight, and mail services

Industry Airlines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
Post Office Box 20706
Phone
+1 404 715-2600
Employees
95000
Web
https://www.delta.com
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DAL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DAL has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DAL jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DAL
1D Price
Change %
DAL100%
+0.24%
AAL - DAL
87%
Closely correlated
-0.40%
UAL - DAL
87%
Closely correlated
-0.49%
ALK - DAL
84%
Closely correlated
+0.39%
LUV - DAL
78%
Closely correlated
-0.23%
JBLU - DAL
76%
Closely correlated
-2.79%
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