Disney (DIS, $128.57) misses revenue estimate; earns positive earnings unexpectedly
Disney reported revenue that fell short of analysts estimates' for its fiscal third quarter. However, it raked in positive earnings, beating expectations.
For the three months ending in June, the entertainment company’s revenue fell -42% year-over-year to $11.78 billion, below analysts’ expectation of $12.4 billion . Its diluted earnings plunged -94% from the year-ago quarter to 8 cents per share, compared to analysts’ estimate of a loss of -64 cents per share. (Analysts’ estimates are those based on FactSet poll).
As of the quarter end, Disney had 57.5 million Disney+ subscribers, 8.5 million ESPN+ subscribers and 35.5 million total Hulu subscribers.
The company’s total Direct-to-Consumer and International revenues grew +2% to $3.97 billion. Parks, Experiences and Products segment revenue dropped -85% to $983 million. Media Networks revenue declined -2% to $6.56 billion, and Studio Entertainment revenue fell -55% to $1.74 billion.
Tickeron's analysis says:
DIS is in Uptrend: Stochastic indicator leaves oversold zone
Leaving the oversold zone means the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. This is a chance to buy the ticker or explore call options. In 29 of 65 cases where DIS's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.
Current price $128.37 crossed the support line at $128.49 and is trading between $128.49 support and $119.93 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 07/02/20 - 08/04/20, the price experienced a +5% Uptrend. During the week of 07/28/20 - 08/04/20, the stock enjoyed a +0.95% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 28, 2020. Traders may consider selling the ticker, shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 40 of 104 cases where DIS's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 38%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 18 of 50 cases where DIS's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 36%.
The price moved below its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a reversal from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 35 cases where DIS's price crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 57%.
The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed below its 50-day Moving Average on July 30, 2020. This can be construed as a sell signal, indicating that the trend is shifting lower. In 5 of 13 cases where DIS's 10-day Moving Average crossed below its 50-day Moving Average, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 38%.
The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 70 of 177 cases where DIS Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 40%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 34%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.2 to 1.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.31) is normal, around the industry mean (0.11). Dividend Yield (1.35) settles around the average of (0.68) among similar stocks.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.
DIS in +10.84% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on May 07, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIS as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIS just turned positive on April 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where DIS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DIS moved above its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for DIS moved below the 200-day moving average on April 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DIS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on April 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.213) is normal, around the industry mean (5.707). P/E Ratio (74.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.871) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.503) is also within normal values, averaging (30.155).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment