Dollar Tree (DLTR, $146.48) beats Q4 earnings expectations
Dollar Tree posted its fourth quarter earnings that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
The discount retail chain’s earnings fell -5.6% year over year to $2.01 per share in the quarter, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.79.
Consolidated net sales rose +4.6% from the year-ago quarter to $7,044.7 million but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7,127 million.
Enterprise same-store sales (comps) rose +2.5% year over year. Comps at the Dollar Tree banner were up +3.1%, while comps for the Family Dollar banner increased +1.7% year over year.
The company’s gross margin narrowed -160 bps to 30.2%, amid higher freight costs and recall-related markdowns, partly offset by continued improvement in shrink, positive product mix and lower distribution costs. The gross margin fell -50 bps to 35.6% at the Dollar Tree banner and -320 bps to 23.4% at the Family Dollar banner.
For fiscal 2022, the company expects to complete 800 Family Dollar H2 Renovations as part of the Key Real Estate Initiative, out of which there will be 190 Dollar Tree stores and 400 Family Dollar stores. Within the Family Dollar segment, 350 stores will be in the Combo Store format. The company plans to expand the $3 and $5 Plus assortments to more than 1,500 Dollar Tree stores.
DLTR in +5.36% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on January 27, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DLTR moved out of overbought territory on December 30, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where DLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DLTR as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DLTR turned negative on February 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 36 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
DLTR moved below its 50-day moving average on February 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.092) is normal, around the industry mean (8.015). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.751). DLTR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.019) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.810). DLTR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (0.515) is also within normal values, averaging (1.279).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of discount variety stores
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