Dollar Tree posted its fourth quarter earnings that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
The discount retail chain’s earnings fell -5.6% year over year to $2.01 per share in the quarter, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.79.
Consolidated net sales rose +4.6% from the year-ago quarter to $7,044.7 million but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7,127 million.
Enterprise same-store sales (comps) rose +2.5% year over year. Comps at the Dollar Tree banner were up +3.1%, while comps for the Family Dollar banner increased +1.7% year over year.
The company’s gross margin narrowed -160 bps to 30.2%, amid higher freight costs and recall-related markdowns, partly offset by continued improvement in shrink, positive product mix and lower distribution costs. The gross margin fell -50 bps to 35.6% at the Dollar Tree banner and -320 bps to 23.4% at the Family Dollar banner.
For fiscal 2022, the company expects to complete 800 Family Dollar H2 Renovations as part of the Key Real Estate Initiative, out of which there will be 190 Dollar Tree stores and 400 Family Dollar stores. Within the Family Dollar segment, 350 stores will be in the Combo Store format. The company plans to expand the $3 and $5 Plus assortments to more than 1,500 Dollar Tree stores.
DLTR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 21 of 27 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The 10-day moving average for DLTR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +4.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTR advanced for three days, in 196 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 195 of 312 cases where DLTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DLTR moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 62 cases where DLTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
DLTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.184) is normal, around the industry mean (5.834). P/E Ratio (16.091) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.535). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.447) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.109) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of discount variety stores
Industry DiscountStores