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published in Blogs
Jul 23, 2020

Dow (DOW, $42.40) posts narrower-than-expected Q2 loss

Dow  reported a narrower-than-expected loss for the second quarter. The company is retrenching its workforce by 6%.

The chemical  company’s net loss of 31 cents a share came in narrower than the loss of 41 cents a share expected by analysts’ polled by FactSet.

Revenue of $8.35 billion, was below the year-ago quarter’s  $11.01 billion ; but was slightly above analysts’ forecasts of $8 billion.

Dow said it will up the ante on its 2020 operating expense reduction target to $500 million from $350 million, including targeting $300 million in cost reductions, in part through a 6% jobs cut as well as exiting uncompetitive assets.

According to Tickeron, DOW's in Uptrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram just turned positive

This is a Bullish indicator signaling DOW's price could rise. Traders may explore going long on the ticker or buying call options. In 6 of 9 cases where DOW's MACD histogram became positive, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Current price $42.40 crossed the resistance line at $42.79 and is trading between $42.79 resistance and $41.67 support lines. Throughout the month of 06/19/20 - 07/22/20, the price experienced a +6% Uptrend. During the week of 07/15/20 - 07/22/20, the stock enjoyed a +2% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 21, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 14 of 22 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DOW advanced for three days, in 54 of 92 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 7 of 7 cases where DOW's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 46 of 60 cases where DOW Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 77%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 61%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.02 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.54) is normal, around the industry mean (2.43). DOW has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.00) as compared to the industry average of (22.84). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (1.12). DOW has a moderately high Dividend Yield (3.84) as compared to the industry average of (1.49). P/S Ratio (0.52) is also within normal values, averaging (2.10).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DOW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DOW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: DOW

DOW in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on December 05, 2024

DOW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 41 cases where DOW's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DOW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DOW just turned positive on December 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where DOW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DOW advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DOW as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DOW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for DOW entered a downward trend on December 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.217) is normal, around the industry mean (3.612). P/E Ratio (71.049) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.004). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.788) is also within normal values, averaging (6.088). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (92.747).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DOW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DOW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Dow (NYSE:DOW), DuPont de Nemours (NYSE:DD), Chemours Company (The) (NYSE:CC).

Industry description

The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Specialty Industry is 8.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 47 to 223.16B. LIN holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.16B. The lowest valued company is GTBT at 47.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. VTXPF experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while COOSF experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was -55%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -41% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of chemicals and specialty materials

Industry ChemicalsSpecialty

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