GET DAILY SIGNALSDropbox (DBX, $23.68) beats Q4 earnings and revenue expectations
Dropbox posted fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of increasing number of paying users.
The file hosting service’s earnings for the quarter came in at 28 cents a share(up from the year-ago quarter’s 16 cents a share), compared to the 24 cents a share expected by analysts polled by Factset.
Revenue of $504.1 billion (up from year-ago period’s $446 million), also exceeded analysts’ forecast of $498 million.
According to Dropbox, it had 15.48 million paying users as of end of the fourth quarter, compared to 14.31 million for the same period last year. The average revenue per paying user in the period was $130.17, up from $125.00 a year ago.
Dropbox CEO Drew Houston said, “We ended the year with strong margin expansion, free cash flow, and more than $2B in ARR as we continued to make progress toward our long-term financial targets” . Houston added, “Going into 2021, we’re focused on executing against our strategy and building essential products for the new era of distributed work.”
The company announced that its board had approved a $1 billion share repurchase plan.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DBX in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
The 10-day moving average for DBX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
DBX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DBX advanced for three days, in 227 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 173 of 262 cases where DBX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DBX moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DBX as a result. In 54 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DBX turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 54%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DBX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
DBX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DBX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-3.541) is normal, around the industry mean (16.593). P/E Ratio (19.582) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.337). DBX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (25.610) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.283) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.662) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
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General Information
a provider of file backup, sync and sharing solutions
Industry ComputerCommunications
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