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Jun 30, 2025

Earnings Preview for Q1 2025 for PRGS, UEC, FIZZ, STZ, GBX, UNF, KMTS, KALV, and TLK: June 30–July 4, 2025

As we conclude the second quarter of 2025, the final week marks a critical earnings period for investors, with nine companies across diverse sectors reporting their Q1 2025 results during June 30 - July 4, 2025. This earnings week comes amid a challenging economic environment characterized by trade tensions, tariff uncertainties, and moderate GDP growth expectations. The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious stance while markets price in potential rate cuts later in 2025, creating a complex backdrop for corporate earnings across all sectors.

Economic Environment

The first quarter of 2025 has been marked by significant economic turbulence, with the Trump administration's tariff announcements creating severe market volatility and raising concerns about trade wars. Markets now anticipate the Fed will need to lower monetary policy by approximately 75 basis points by the end of 2025, as tariffs are expected to trigger a growth slowdown. Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.4% in 2025, down from 2.9% in 2024, primarily due to heightened trade tensions and policy uncertainty. Consumer confidence has deteriorated sharply across businesses and financial markets, while inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed's 2% target.

Technology and Software

Monday: Progress Software (PRGS)

Progress Software enters Q1 2025 earnings having demonstrated resilience in its most recent quarter, with revenue reaching $238.0 million in Q4 2024, representing significant growth compared to the prior year. The company has been navigating through strategic acquisitions and operational adjustments, though it reported a decline in earnings compared to the previous year, with diluted EPS of $0.24 versus $0.51 in the prior year period. Progress Software's performance will be closely watched for insights into how enterprise software companies are managing the current economic uncertainties and cybersecurity challenges, as the company has incurred cyber vulnerability response expenses. The software industry has seen mixed performance amid the broader economic headwinds, making Progress Software's quarterly results particularly important for gauging sector health.

Energy and Commodities

Monday: Uranium Energy (UEC)

Uranium Energy represents the nuclear fuel sector, which continues to benefit from renewed global interest in nuclear power as a clean energy solution amid growing energy security concerns. The uranium market has experienced significant volatility in recent quarters, with prices affected by both supply constraints and increasing demand for nuclear fuel as countries seek to reduce their carbon footprints. The company's Q1 2025 results will reflect uranium market dynamics and global nuclear energy development trends. With oil prices having fallen sharply in early April 2025 due to tariff announcements and OPEC+ production increases, alternative energy sources like nuclear power may see increased investor attention.

Consumer Goods

Monday: National Beverage (FIZZ)

National Beverage, known for its LaCroix sparkling water brand and other beverage products, faces a challenging consumer environment marked by weakened spending patterns and changing preferences. Consumer confidence has declined significantly during Q1 2025, affecting discretionary spending across various categories. The beverage industry has been particularly sensitive to input cost inflation and supply chain disruptions, while consumers have become increasingly price-conscious. National Beverage's Q1 results will provide insights into how specialty beverage companies are navigating reduced consumer spending and margin pressures in an inflationary environment.

Alcoholic Beverages

Tuesday: Constellation Brands (STZ)

Constellation Brands demonstrated mixed performance in recent quarters, with fiscal 2025 results showing net sales of $10.2 billion, down from previous expectations, while facing significant challenges in its wine and spirits division. The company reported a net loss of $31.1 million in fiscal 2025 compared to a profit of $1.76 billion in fiscal 2024, primarily due to goodwill impairments and asset write-downs. However, the beer division showed strength with $8.5 billion in net sales and continued market share gains. Recent developments include the completion of wine and spirits divestitures and debt refinancing activities. Investors will watch closely for guidance on how the company is positioned following its portfolio optimization and whether the beer business can continue offsetting challenges in other segments.

Transportation and Industrial

Tuesday: The Greenbrier Companies (GBX)

Greenbrier Companies reported record Q1 2025 revenue of $876 million with strong EBITDA of $145 million, representing a 16.6% operating margin. The railcar manufacturer delivered 6,000 new railcars in Q1 and maintained high fleet utilization at approximately 99%. However, the company faces mixed market conditions with revenue expectations revised downward for the full year, reflecting softer demand in certain markets. The freight rail industry in North America remains fundamentally healthy, but fleet utilization is expected to decline slightly as deliveries outpace retirements in 2025. Greenbrier's Q1 2025 earnings will reveal how the company is managing the balance between strong operational performance and uncertain demand outlook.

Business Services

Wednesday: Unifirst (UNF)

Unifirst reported solid Q1 2025 results with consolidated revenues increasing 1.9% to $604.9 million and operating income rising 4.5% to $55.5 million. The uniform rental and workplace supply company demonstrated operational resilience with adjusted EBITDA growing 5.9% to $94.0 million. Core laundry operations showed organic growth of 1.7% with improving margins, though the company continues to invest in key IT infrastructure initiatives. Unifirst's performance reflects the stability of essential business services even amid economic uncertainty, as companies continue to require uniform and safety supply services regardless of broader economic conditions.

Healthcare Technology

Wednesday: Kestra Medical Technologies (KMTS)

Kestra Medical Technologies, a newcomer to public markets following its IPO in March 2025, represents the medical device sector with its sleep apnea therapy solutions. The company reported strong revenue growth of 82% in Q3 fiscal 2025 (quarter ended January 31, 2025) to $15.1 million, driven primarily by increased patient adoption and improved reimbursement realization. Despite revenue growth, the company continues to report operating losses as it scales operations and invests in growth initiatives. The medical device sector has shown resilience during economic downturns as healthcare needs remain constant, making Kestra's results particularly interesting for understanding how newer healthcare technology companies are performing.

Pharmaceuticals

Thursday: KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV)

KalVista Pharmaceuticals, a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on kallikrein-related diseases, recently achieved a significant milestone with FDA acceptance of its New Drug Application (NDA) for sebetralstat, setting a PDUFA goal date of June 17, 2025. The company reported Q2 2025 earnings with an EPS of -$0.91, which beat analyst consensus estimates of -$0.92. The pharmaceutical sector has shown mixed performance amid economic uncertainty, but companies with near-term approval catalysts like KalVista may be less affected by broader economic trends. Investors will be particularly focused on any updates regarding the regulatory approval process and commercialization preparations.

Telecommunications

Friday: PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLK)

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Indonesia's leading telecommunications company, reported Q1 2025 revenue of Rp36.6 trillion ($2.23 billion), representing a 2.1% year-over-year decline. The company posted net earnings of $354.4 million with earnings per share of 36 cents. EBITDA reached Rp18.5 trillion with a strong margin of 50.5%, though this represented a 3.1% year-over-year decline. The telecommunications sector in emerging markets faces unique challenges from shifting consumer behaviors toward over-the-top services and digital transformation requirements. PT Telekomunikasi's results will provide insights into how major telecom operators in developing markets are adapting to these industry changes while managing macroeconomic pressures.

Tickeron: Advancing AI-Driven Trading Solutions

Tickeron is a technology company specializing in artificial intelligence applications for financial markets. Founded by a team of Ph.D. mathematicians and quantitative analysts, the company has developed a suite of AI-powered tools designed to enhance trading strategies through data-driven insights.

Central to Tickeron's offerings are its Financial Learning Models (FLMs), which integrate technical indicators, chart patterns, and fundamental data to generate predictive analytics. These models underpin various products, including:

  • AI Agents: Automated trading agents that execute strategies based on predefined criteria.
  • Pattern Search Engine: Identifies technical patterns in real-time to inform trading decisions.
  • Trend Prediction Engine: Forecasts market trends using machine learning algorithms.

To address risk management, Tickeron has introduced Virtual Accounts (VAs), which allow for adjustable trading parameters such as balance, position size, and hedging strategies. These features aim to provide a controlled environment for strategy testing and refinement.

Tickeron's platform is designed to cater to various trading styles, offering tools that support both technical and fundamental analysis. By leveraging AI, the company seeks to provide scalable solutions that adapt to the evolving dynamics of financial markets.

Investment Implications

This diverse earnings calendar offers investors a comprehensive view of corporate performance across multiple sectors during a period of significant economic uncertainty. The companies reporting span essential services (Unifirst), emerging healthcare technologies (Kestra Medical), traditional industrial sectors (Greenbrier), and international markets (PT Telekomunikasi).

Key themes to watch include companies' ability to maintain pricing power amid inflationary pressures, progress on operational efficiency initiatives, and forward guidance reflecting management's outlook on evolving economic conditions. Given the uncertain macroeconomic environment characterized by trade tensions and policy uncertainty, companies demonstrating strong balance sheets, diversified revenue streams, and adaptive strategies will likely outperform.

The technology and software sectors (Progress Software) will be scrutinized for their ability to navigate cybersecurity challenges and maintain growth in an uncertain IT spending environment. Energy companies (Uranium Energy) may benefit from ongoing discussions about energy security and clean energy transitions. Consumer-facing businesses (National Beverage, Constellation Brands) will provide crucial insights into spending patterns and economic resilience.

As we approach the end of Q2 2025, these earnings reports will serve as important indicators of how companies are positioning themselves for the remainder of the year amid continued economic and policy uncertainties. Success will likely favor companies that demonstrate operational flexibility, strategic vision, and the ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities while effectively managing persistent macroeconomic headwinds.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: PRGS, UEC, FIZZ, STZ, GBX, UNF, KMTS, KALV, TLK

PRGS sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for PRGS moved above the 200-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PRGS as a result. In of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PRGS advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 227 cases where PRGS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PRGS moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where PRGS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PRGS turned negative on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PRGS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.960) is normal, around the industry mean (31.808). P/E Ratio (33.611) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.969). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.614) is also within normal values, averaging (2.732). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.393) is also within normal values, averaging (61.972).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PRGS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. CYN experienced the highest price growth at 308%, while ARAT experienced the biggest fall at -96%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 79% and the average quarterly volume growth was 58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of real-time data management software

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