GET DAILY SIGNALSElbit Systems (ESLT) Q1 2026 Earnings Preview: +12.8% Revenue Growth Expected
Key Takeaways
- Elbit Systems is scheduled to report first-quarter 2026 results on May 26, 2026, before market open.
- Analysts project revenue of approximately $2.14 billion, representing about 12.8% year-over-year growth.
- Consensus earnings per share estimates range from $3.35 to $3.44, reflecting strong expected expansion from the prior year.
- Investors will focus on order backlog trends, defense spending momentum, and any updates on recent acquisitions.
- The company enters the quarter with a record backlog exceeding $28 billion from the end of 2025.
- Historical post-earnings reactions have often been influenced by backlog figures and guidance on international contracts.
Understanding the Earnings Context
Elbit Systems Ltd. operates in the defense electronics sector, supplying advanced systems for aircraft, vehicles, and unmanned platforms. Its results provide a window into global defense procurement trends amid heightened geopolitical tensions. The upcoming first-quarter report follows a strong 2025 in which full-year revenue rose 16.3% to $7.94 billion and the order backlog reached a record $28.1 billion. Investors track these figures closely because sustained backlog growth often signals multi-year revenue visibility for the company. I’m watching this closely as defense spending remains a key driver.
What Analysts Are Expecting
Wall Street consensus points to first-quarter 2026 revenue of roughly $2.14 billion, up about 12.8% from the year-ago period. Earnings per share estimates center between $3.35 and $3.44. These projections build on the momentum from 2025, when the company delivered consistent beats, including a fourth-quarter 2025 earnings-per-share result of $3.56 versus an expected $3.18. Key metrics under scrutiny include backlog conversion rates, gross margins in a high-demand environment, and any commentary on new contract awards or integration of recent unmanned aerial vehicle capabilities. Past earnings releases have shown that positive backlog updates frequently support favorable stock reactions. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
How the Market Might React
Sentiment heading into the report remains constructive, supported by ongoing global defense spending and Elbit Systems’ elevated backlog position. Market participants will watch for any pre-announcement signals or analyst note revisions in the final hours before release. Volatility around the event is typical for the stock, with price movements often tied to how actual results align with consensus and whether management provides updated full-year guidance.
Using AI Tools for Deeper Insights
In my research process, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to help filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. AI Screener
What to Watch Going Forward
Following the first-quarter release, investors should monitor management’s commentary on order intake velocity and the pace of backlog conversion into revenue. Defense budgets in key markets remain elevated, which could support continued demand for Elbit Systems’ avionics, electro-optics, and command-and-control solutions.
Additional areas of focus include the contribution from recent acquisitions in the unmanned systems space and any updates on supply-chain or labor dynamics. Margin trends will also draw attention, as higher production volumes can influence profitability.
Subsequent catalysts may include updates on major international programs and the timing of additional contract announcements. These elements together will help shape expectations for the remainder of 2026. From what I see, backlog trends will be particularly telling.
Disclaimer
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Financial writer and active order flow futures trader with a focus on fundamental analysis, macroeconomic factors, and equity research. I make in-depth blogs on stocks and ETFs, bridging the gap between raw market data and real-world trading decisions.
ESLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026
ESLT moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 56 cases where ESLT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The 10-day moving average for ESLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +8.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESLT advanced for three days, in 242 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
ESLT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 209 of 272 cases where ESLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ESLT moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 23 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 52%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESLT as a result. In 53 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESLT turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESLT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.254) is normal, around the industry mean (5.050). P/E Ratio (49.860) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.247). ESLT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.650) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.143) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
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General Information
a manufacturer of airborne, ground and command, control and communication electronic systems
Industry AerospaceDefense
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