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May 01, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Estee Lauder (EL, $172.00) fiscal Q3 earnings beat estimates

Estee Lauder (EL, $172.00) fiscal Q3 earnings beat estimates

Estee Lauder Companies’ fiscal third quarter earnings surpassed expectations, on the back of strong revenue from Asia and several beauty brands.

For the three months ending in March, the skincare and cosmetics company’s diluted earnings came in at $1.51 per share, which beat analysts’ estimates of $1.30 per share. Total group sales increased +11% year-over-year to $3.74 billion – also higher than analysts’ estimates.

For the full-year 2019, Estee Lauder predicted that its adjusted earnings would range between $5.15 and $5.19 per share, up from its February projection of $4.92 and $5.00 range.

CEO Fabrizio Freda highlighted the Asia/Pacific region, the skin care brands, the Estee Lauder, La Mer and Tom Ford Beauty brands, and travel retail and global online channels as the main contributors to growth for the quarter.

Related Ticker: EL

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for EL shows an upward move is likely

EL's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 02, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 214 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 139 of the 214 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 65%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EL just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where EL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

EL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in 182 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EL moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 57 cases where EL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EL as a result. In 67 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

EL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.959) is normal, around the industry mean (20.672). EL's P/E Ratio (209.540) is considerably higher than the industry average of (16.840). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.121) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.317) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 24.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 60.48K to 379.9B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 379.9B. The lowest valued company is EOSS at 60.48K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. SLSN experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while FRTT experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 169%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 148% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which offers skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
767 Fifth Avenue
Phone
+1 212 572-4200
Employees
55000
Web
https://www.elcompanies.com
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