Estee Lauder posted its fiscal first quarter adjusted earnings of $1.37 per share, that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.29 per share. Earnings were $1.89 per share a year ago (as reported in Zacks Equity Research)
The beauty company’s revenues for the quarter fell -11% from the year-ago period, but topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.34%. While net sales for the company’s skincare and makeup segments were down by -14% and -10% respectively, that of its hair care business had a +7% climb.
Revenues from the Americas had a -3% decline, while its businesses in Europe fell -5% and that in the Middle East & Africa (EMEA) and Asia-Pacific experienced -7% decrease.
In the fiscal second quarter, Estée Lauder projects its earnings per share to be between $1.14 and $1.26. It expects net sales growth in the range of +17% to +19% on a year-over-year basis.
The Aroon Indicator for EL entered a downward trend on January 15, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 244 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 244 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 04, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EL turned negative on February 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
EL moved below its 50-day moving average on February 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
EL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.542) is normal, around the industry mean (17.160). P/E Ratio (117.853) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.715) is also within normal values, averaging (3.832). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.617) is also within normal values, averaging (115.095).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which offers skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare