Estee Lauder (EL, $257.07) beats Zacks Consensus earnings estimates; misses revenue expectations
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. posted its fiscal third-quarter 2022 results, with earnings topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Revenue, however, fell short of expectations.
The beauty and cosmetics company’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at $1.90 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66. The bottom line rose +17% (up 18% at constant currency) year over year.
Net sales increased +10% (up +11% at cc) year-over-year to $4,245 million missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,323.1 million. Organic net sales rose +9% in the quarter. Net sales grew in every product category, on the back of continued rebound in brick-and-mortar retail stores.
The company’s revenues in the Americas climbed +15% year over year (+ 14% at cc) to $1,053 million. Sales in Europe, the Middle East & Africa region rose +17% year over year (up 19% at cc) to $1,990 million. Asia-Pacific region sales, however, fell -4% ( -3% at cc) to $1,203 million.
Management mentioned that COVID-19 pandemic continued to impact the company’s retail traffic, travel, supply chain, inventory levels and other logistics worldwide in the quarter under review.
Looking ahead, the company is expecting fiscal full year 2022 reported net sales to increase in the range of 7-9%, compared to prior forecast of 13-16% year over year. It projects organic net sales growth in the range of 5-7% year over year, vs. previous estimate of 10-13% year over year.
The company now projects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $7.05 to $7.15, compared to prior expected range of $7.43-$7.58. It now expects adjusted earnings to grow 8-10% at cc in fiscal 2022, compared to prior expectation of 14-17% at cc.
EL sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for EL moved below the 200-day moving average on May 05, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
EL moved below its 50-day moving average on May 03, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 04, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for EL entered a downward trend on June 01, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EL just turned positive on May 26, 2023. Looking at past instances where EL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
EL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.123) is normal, around the industry mean (68.911). P/E Ratio (60.241) is within average values for comparable stocks, (184.270). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.483) is also within normal values, averaging (7.227). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.165) is also within normal values, averaging (69.812).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a company which offers skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare
EL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EL has been loosely correlated with COTY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EL jumps, then COTY could also see price increases.
