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Estee Lauder (EL, $297.05) misses Q2 expectations

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Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

<p>Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years&nbsp;developing&nbsp;his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron&rsquo;s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional,&nbsp;sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via&nbsp;an easy-to-use interface.</p>

EL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 28, 2026

EL moved above its 50-day moving average on July 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EL as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EL just turned positive on July 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where EL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 219 cases where EL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

EL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.006) is normal, around the industry mean (24.451). EL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (147.804) as compared to the industry average of (55.231). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.121) is also within normal values, averaging (3.041). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.165) is also within normal values, averaging (2.488).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.