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Jun 08, 2023

Evaluating Tickeron's Robot Factory Impact: $NIO Records 4.06% Growth

The Swing Trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA) AI trading robot has emerged as one of the top performers in our robot factory, demonstrating its prowess by generating a notable 4.06% gain while trading NIO over the previous week. In addition to its impressive performance, a bullish signal has recently emerged for NIO, making it an intriguing opportunity for traders. This article explores the potential of NIO's bullish outlook and analyzes the latest earnings report to provide a comprehensive overview for investors.

NIO's Bullish Signal: On June 5, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for NIO moved out of oversold territory, signaling a potentially bullish trend for the stock. Traders keen on capitalizing on this signal may consider buying the stock or purchasing call options. To gain further insights into the probability of a price increase following such an occurrence, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 59 instances where the Stochastic Oscillator left the oversold zone. Remarkably, in 50 out of the 59 cases, the stock price moved higher in the subsequent days. This statistical analysis suggests that the odds of NIO moving higher stand at over 85%, adding to the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock.

Earnings Report Analysis: Examining the latest earnings report of NIO, released on March 1, provides valuable information to understand the company's financial performance. The reported earnings per share (EPS) stood at -306 cents, falling short of the estimated -179 cents. This negative variance in earnings indicates a lower-than-expected profitability for the specified period.

Considering the number of outstanding shares at 30.55 million, the current market capitalization of NIO is calculated to be approximately $12.75 billion. Market capitalization provides investors with an indication of the overall value the market assigns to a company, considering both its stock price and outstanding shares.

The Swing Trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA) AI trading robot has demonstrated its effectiveness by generating an impressive 4.06% gain while trading NIO. Coupled with the emergence of a bullish signal from the Stochastic Oscillator, the odds of NIO's stock price moving higher are estimated to be over 85%, making it an appealing opportunity for traders and investors alike. However, it is essential to consider the recent earnings report, which revealed a negative variance in earnings per share compared to expectations.

Related Ticker: NIO

NIO's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NIO moved out of overbought territory on October 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 34 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NIO turned negative on October 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 234 cases where NIO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.689) is normal, around the industry mean (6.019). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.031). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (1.009) is also within normal values, averaging (76.807).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (null:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (null:F), General Motors Company (null:GM), NIO Inc. (null:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 33.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. GELYY experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while LCID experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 80
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 44 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
No. 56 AnTuo Road
Phone
+86 2169082018
Employees
26763
Web
https://www.nio.com
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