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Feb 10, 2023
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Expedia (EXPE, $108.44) misses Q4 earnings expectations

Expedia (EXPE, $108.44) misses Q4 earnings expectations

Expedia Group, Inc. reported adjusted earnings of $1.26 per share for fourth-quarter 2022, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by -31.9%.

The travel booking company’s revenues grew +15% y/y to $2.62 billion, but was shy of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.68 billion. Expedia’s gross bookings rose +17% y/y to $20.51 billion, on lodging and air bookings strength.  Also, ‘booked room nights’ and ‘stayed room nights’ grew by 19% each.

The company’s Retail business revenue rose +8% year-over-year to $1.87 billion of revenues (71.6% of the total revenues). B2B revenues of $676 million (25.8% of the total revenues) grew +41% year-over-year. Trivago revenues increased +7% to $106 million (4% of the total revenues).

Related Ticker: EXPE

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


EXPE's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for EXPE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Following a +5.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in 233 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

EXPE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 168 of 218 cases where EXPE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for EXPE moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 34 of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXPE as a result. In 57 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EXPE turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.

EXPE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EXPE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: EXPE's P/B Ratio (25.735) is slightly higher than the industry average of (-0.351). P/E Ratio (15.702) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.800). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.694) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.224) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.315) is also within normal values, averaging (2.754).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG), Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL), Carnival Corporation Ltd. (NYSE:CCL), Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE), Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM).

Industry description

Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Consumer Sundries Industry is 28.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.32M to 120.72B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 120.72B. The lowest valued company is SOSAF at 4.32M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Consumer Sundries Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. MMYT experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while TRIP experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Consumer Sundries Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of on-line travel services

Industry ConsumerSundries

Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
1111 Expedia Group Way W
Phone
+1 206 481-7200
Employees
16000
Web
https://www.expediagroup.com
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Expedia (EXPE, $108.44) misses Q4 earnings expectations