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Expedia (EXPE, $175.69) shares rise, on better-than-expected Q1 results
Expedia Group’s shares climbed on Friday, as it posted first quarter results better than expected by analysts.
The online travel booking company’s adjusted loss came in at -$2.02 a share, compared to a loss of -$2.30 a share anticipated by analysts polled by Factset. The adjusted loss was -$1.83 a share in the year-ago period.
Revenue fell to $1.25 billion from $2.21 billion in the year-ago quarter, amid COVID-19 pandemic’s effect on traveling. But the figure beat that $1.11 billion that analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected.
“Travel remains a study in contrasts – with strong vacation rental growth and demand for domestic travel continuing to drive us forward, while demand for international and business travel and conventional lodging remain challenged,” said Expedia Chief Executive Peter Kern. “As the vaccine rollout continues, we expect to see a now familiar story play out; domestic and leisure demand lead the recovery. However, as the dire situation in India reminds us, in some markets, things may get worse before they get better.”
EXPE in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on April 11, 2022
The 10-day Moving Average for EXPE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 11, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Current price $123.85 crossed the resistance line at $133.08 and is trading between $133.08 resistance and $81.16 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 04/13/22 - 05/16/22, the price experienced a -34% Downtrend. During the week of 05/09/22 - 05/16/22, the stock fell -3%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 28, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EXPE as a result. In 46 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
EXPE moved below its 50-day Moving Average on April 18, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator for EXPE entered a downward trend on May 11, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in 234 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
EXPE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 43%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.99.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EXPE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.960) is normal, around the industry mean (25.243). P/E Ratio (82.645) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.376). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.739) is also within normal values, averaging (1.419). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.093) is also within normal values, averaging (25.267).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXPE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Other consumer services include companies that provide consumer services, and are not classified elsewhere. Travel fare aggregators, hotel bookings, consumer-to-consumer or business-to-business sales platforms are some examples of services that can be clubbed into this category. Many of such services have expanded online. Booking Holdings Inc, The Priceline Group Inc, and eBay Inc. are some major operators in this segment.
The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Services Industry is 5.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.4K to 85.4B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 85.4B. The lowest valued company is YSGG at 1.4K.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was -2.28%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.57%. HRB experienced the highest price growth at 27.66%, while AMIHD experienced the biggest fall at -54.18%.
- 4/23/22 4:20 AM: Expedia Group (EXPE, $181.65) was a top loser this week, declining -5.17%
- 4/15/22 4:35 AM: Expedia Group (EXPE, $191.55) was a top weekly gainer, with a +5.26% jump
- 4/7/22 5:33 AM: Expedia Group (EXPE, $181.46) was a top loser this week, declining -5.57%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was 13.02%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 54.64% and the average quarterly volume growth was 19.85%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the Aroon Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 44%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.48.
31 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the MA50 indicator with average odds of 73%.
The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE), Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON), WW International (NASDAQ:WW).
The average market capitalization across the group is 4.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 0 to 85.4B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 85.4B. The lowest valued company is HXPR at 0.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 35.58%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 25.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.25%. CDJM experienced the highest price growth at 2686.89%, while QQQFF experienced the biggest fall at -28.14%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: PLBY Group (PLBY, $8.94) was a top weekly gainer, with a +5.05% jump
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: TripAdvisor (TRIP, $24.77) was a top weekly gainer, with a +8.31% jump
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: cbdMD (YCBD, $0.83) is a top weekly gainer for penny stocks, rising +20.7%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 42.54%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 163.99% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1132.65%
- 4/26/22 5:03 AM: The volume for Tuniu stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 240% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/15/22 4:33 AM: The volume for Cannonau stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 628% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 4/13/22 8:11 AM: The volume for Zovio stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 279% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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