Expedia (EXPE, $175.69) shares rise, on better-than-expected Q1 results
Expedia Group’s shares climbed on Friday, as it posted first quarter results better than expected by analysts.
The online travel booking company’s adjusted loss came in at -$2.02 a share, compared to a loss of -$2.30 a share anticipated by analysts polled by Factset. The adjusted loss was -$1.83 a share in the year-ago period.
Revenue fell to $1.25 billion from $2.21 billion in the year-ago quarter, amid COVID-19 pandemic’s effect on traveling. But the figure beat that $1.11 billion that analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected.
“Travel remains a study in contrasts – with strong vacation rental growth and demand for domestic travel continuing to drive us forward, while demand for international and business travel and conventional lodging remain challenged,” said Expedia Chief Executive Peter Kern. “As the vaccine rollout continues, we expect to see a now familiar story play out; domestic and leisure demand lead the recovery. However, as the dire situation in India reminds us, in some markets, things may get worse before they get better.”
Momentum Indicator for EXPE turns positive, indicating new upward trend
EXPE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EXPE just turned positive on May 15, 2023. Looking at past instances where EXPE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
EXPE moved above its 50-day moving average on May 17, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EXPE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXPE advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EXPE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
EXPE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. EXPE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.974) is normal, around the industry mean (10.568). P/E Ratio (49.261) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.680) is also within normal values, averaging (1.141). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.313) is also within normal values, averaging (29.015).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EXPE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of on-line travel services
Industry OtherConsumerServices
EXPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPE has been closely correlated with BKNG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXPE jumps, then BKNG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPE | 100% | +3.52% | ||
| BKNG - EXPE | 81% Closely correlated | +1.72% | ||
| TNL - EXPE | 76% Closely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| ABNB - EXPE | 73% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| TRIP - EXPE | 70% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| CCL - EXPE | 68% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
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