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Jan 31, 2023

Exxon Mobil (XOM, $115.37) beat Q4 earnings expectations

Exxon Mobil reported fourth quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations, on the back of favorable oil prices.

The oil & gas company’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending in December came in at $3.40 per share, exceeding the Street expectations of $3.29 per share. Revenues rose +12.3% to $95.43 billion, also beating analysts' expectations of $94.67 billion.

“While our results clearly benefited from a favorable market, the counter-cyclical investments we made before and during the pandemic provided the energy and products people needed as economies began recovering and supplies became tight," said CEO Darren Woods. "We leaned in when others leaned out."

The company said that it would likely implement another $2 billion in reduction of structural costs this year, which makes it on track to fulfil a target for a $9 billion cut this year, when compared to 2019 levels.

Related Ticker: XOM

XOM in +0.64% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on December 01, 2023

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 01, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XOM as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on November 17, 2023. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XOM entered a downward trend on November 28, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.084) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.111). P/E Ratio (10.320) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.821). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.768) is also within normal values, averaging (4.065). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.102) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.246) is also within normal values, averaging (0.709).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 58.59B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 416.24B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 416.24B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. POGS experienced the highest price growth at 262%, while ECTM experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 44
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 39 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
5959 Las Colinas Boulevard
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
62300
Web
https://www.exxonmobil.com
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XOM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To XOM
1D Price
Change %
XOM100%
+0.24%
CVX - XOM
84%
Closely correlated
+0.84%
SU - XOM
80%
Closely correlated
-0.03%
IMO - XOM
77%
Closely correlated
+1.26%
BP - XOM
77%
Closely correlated
-0.85%
CVE - XOM
73%
Closely correlated
-0.28%
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