Fed Leaves Policy Rate Unchanged at 2.25% -2.5% in January
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 2.25% to 2.5%. The policy rate is what banks charge each other for lending funds overnight.
At the first Federal Open Market Committee meet of 2019, central bankers expressed caution amidst global economic uncertainties, such as trade tensions, potential headwinds from economic slowdowns in China and Europe, and the recent U.S. government shutdown. The U.S. domestic macroeconomic conditions seem sanguine through, with low unemployment and strong job gains.
Although the Fed had earlier expected two hikes for the policy rate for this year, it seems that central bankers are now tilting more towards a ‘wait-and-see’ mode.
"The case for raising rates has weakened somewhat," said Fed chair Jerome Powell at a press conference following the committee's January rate-setting meeting. "We believe we can best support the economy by being patient and evaluating the outlook before making any future adjustment to policy."
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SHY in -0.19% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on August 28, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where SHY declined for three days, in of 252 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHY moved out of overbought territory on August 20, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHY as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHY turned negative on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHY advanced for three days, in of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SHY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 388 cases where SHY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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