FedEx posted its first-quarter fiscal 2023 adjusted earnings of $3.44 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.69, amidst global volume weakness. (as reported in Zacks Equity Research).
For the quarter ending Aug 31, revenues climbed +5.44% from the year-ago quarter to $23,200 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $23,213.4 million.
FedEx Express (including TNT Express) revenues were up +1% from the prior-year quarter to $11.13 billion. Package revenues in this business segment rose +2%, while freight revenues were flat. Operating income in the segment plunged -69% year-over-year to $174 million, amidst lower global package and freight volume.
FedEx Ground revenues climbed +6% year over year to $8.16 billion for the period due to increased fuel surcharges, among other factors.
FedEx Freight revenues surged +21% from the year-ago fiscal quarter to $2.72 billion, on the back of higher revenues per shipment.
For the fiscal second quarter, FDX projects revenues in the $23.5-$24 billion range, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $23.7 billion. The company is expecting earnings per share for the quarter (excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives and business realignment activities) to be $2.75 or higher, lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.02.
FedEx expects cost savings of $2.2-$2.7 billion in fiscal 2023. FedEx Express, FedEx Ground and FedEx Home Delivery shipping rates will be hiked by an average of 6.9% starting Jan 2, 2023. It will raise rates at its Freight unit by an average of 6.9-7.9%, depending on a customer’s transportation rate scale.
FDX's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on April 03, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 272 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 272 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for FDX moved above the 200-day moving average on April 05, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on April 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 08, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDX as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on April 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
FDX moved below its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.614) is normal, around the industry mean (19.997). P/E Ratio (16.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.454). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.011) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.807) is also within normal values, averaging (1.265).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry AirFreightCouriers