FedEx (FDX, $162.51) Is Fearful Of Economic Headwinds, Cuts Profit Outlook for 2019
FedEx is portending global trade tensions and a slowing of economic growth to dampen its business in 2019.
Lowering its profit projection for the full fiscal year (ending May 30) by 7-10%, the courier delivery services company said that its international business especially in Europe faltered over the last three months. FedEx’s U.S. business, however, is relatively strong.
FedEx has indicated plans to offer buyouts to it U.S. employees and to slow down new hiring. Job cuts are expected to reduce the company’s costs by $225 million to $275 million per year. The company hopes that the buyouts would boost productivity, as indicated by CEO Fred Smith in a call with investors (as reported by CNN).
However, the company’s recent performance has been quite strong. It expects to have record shipments during the ongoing holiday period. It registered positive growth in revenue and profit for its fiscal second quarter, ending November 30. But its profit margin was slightly lower than a year ago.
Also, despite the job cuts, FedEx hopes to have an overall expansion in employment “over the next several years, again, assuming moderate economic growth," as mentioned by Smith.
FDX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026
FDX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 25, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on June 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDX turned negative on June 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.632) is normal, around the industry mean (3.325). P/E Ratio (17.554) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.909). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.390) is also within normal values, averaging (2.303). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.853) is also within normal values, averaging (1.004).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry OtherTransportation
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