Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 06, 2023

First Horizon shares dropped after the $13.4 billion merger with TD Bank was called off on Thursday.

"The companies mutually terminated the deal, which was originally announced in late February 2022, due to uncertainty around TD's ability to obtain regulatory approval and when.

On this news, shares of First Horizon fell by more than 36%. TD's shares, listed on the New York Stock Exchange, remained unchanged.

Brian Jordan, CEO of First Horizon, said, "While today's announcement is disappointing and unexpected, First Horizon will continue its growth trajectory, operating from a position of strength and stability."

"Our strong capital position, disciplined credit quality, expense control measures, and well-diversified and stable funding base have enabled our business to navigate the challenging dynamics of the banking industry and remain focused on executing our customer-focused growth plan," he continued."

"On April 25, 2023, the Momentum Indicator of FHN moved below the 0 level, indicating a potential sell signal. In such cases, traders may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FHN as a result. Based on historical data, in 48 out of 84 instances where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month, resulting in a 57% chance of a continued downward trend.

Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FHN turned negative on May 02, 2023, which could be an indication of a further decline in the stock's price in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 43 similar instances when the MACD indicator turned negative, and found that in 24 of those cases, the stock turned lower in the days that followed, resulting in a 56% chance of success."

Related Ticker: FHN

FHN's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for FHN moved out of oversold territory on May 17, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FHN as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FHN just turned positive on May 22, 2023. Looking at past instances where FHN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FHN advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FHN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 244 cases where FHN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where FHN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FHN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.771) is normal, around the industry mean (0.944). P/E Ratio (6.716) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.767). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.156). Dividend Yield (0.055) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.902) is also within normal values, averaging (2.377).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FHN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FHN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 4.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 116.62B. CIHKY holds the highest valuation in this group at 116.62B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SHFS experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while BDOUF experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was 263%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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