Fortinet (FTNT, $46.17) tops Q3 earnings expectations; disappoints on billings guidance
Fortinet Inc.’s quarterly earnings and revenue surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the cybersecurity company issued billings guidance lower than expectations.
Fortinet posted third-quarter adjusted earnings of 33 cents a share, up from 20 cents a share a year before, and well-above the 27 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Revenue rose to $1.15 billion from the year-ago quarter’s $867 million, and surpassed the FactSet consensus of $1.12 billion.
For the fourth quarter, Fortinet is expecting 38 cents to 40 cents in adjusted earnings per share, compared to the FactSet consensus 35 cents. The company projects $1.275 billion to $1.315 billion in revenue, vs. $1.12 billion expected by FactSet consensus.
Fortinet projects $1.665 billion to $1.720 billion in billings, lower than analysts’ forecast of $1.740 billion (as indicated by FactSet poll).
FTNT in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on December 18, 2024
FTNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where FTNT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where FTNT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTNT advanced for three days, in of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FTNT moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTNT as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTNT turned negative on December 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FTNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FTNT's P/B Ratio (555.556) is slightly higher than the industry average of (31.082). P/E Ratio (46.445) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.825) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.070) is also within normal values, averaging (58.159).
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General Information
a provider of threat management and network security solutions
Industry PackagedSoftware