FuelCell (FCEL, $5.54) shares downgraded by J.P. Morgan analyst
FuelCell Energy got a rating downgrade from J.P. Morgan analyst Paul Coster .
Coster lowered his rating on the fuel cell power-plant maker's shares to neutral from overweight, on valuation concern.
"The stock is up about 135% over the last month (S&P 500 up 3.4%), buoyed initially by a wave of regional 'climate ambition' initiatives associated with hydrogen and fuel cells, but also owing to a rerating of the alternative energy stocks on the back of the Biden election victory,” Coster wrote in a commentary. But Coster also said “the more dramatic move over the last three days seems to be taking place in absence of new news,".
According to the analyst, FuelCell seems to be moving towards profitability in 2022, and its fundamentals look good. However, the share price exceeded Coster estimate of a fair-value.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for FCEL turns negative, indicating new downward trend
FCEL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 26, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 73 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 68 of the 73 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FCEL turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
FCEL moved below its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for FCEL entered a downward trend on September 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FCEL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 37 of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 54 of 64 cases where FCEL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Following a +21.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCEL advanced for three days, in 215 of 238 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FCEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.272) is normal, around the industry mean (7.689). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.128). FCEL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.043). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.263) is also within normal values, averaging (8.080).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FCEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FCEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of installs and services fuel cell power plants for distributed power generation
Industry ElectricalProducts
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