FuelCell (FCEL, $5.54) shares downgraded by J.P. Morgan analyst
FuelCell Energy got a rating downgrade from J.P. Morgan analyst Paul Coster .
Coster lowered his rating on the fuel cell power-plant maker's shares to neutral from overweight, on valuation concern.
"The stock is up about 135% over the last month (S&P 500 up 3.4%), buoyed initially by a wave of regional 'climate ambition' initiatives associated with hydrogen and fuel cells, but also owing to a rerating of the alternative energy stocks on the back of the Biden election victory,” Coster wrote in a commentary. But Coster also said “the more dramatic move over the last three days seems to be taking place in absence of new news,".
According to the analyst, FuelCell seems to be moving towards profitability in 2022, and its fundamentals look good. However, the share price exceeded Coster estimate of a fair-value.
FCEL's RSI Indicator dives oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for FCEL moved into overbought territory on February 03, 2025. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCEL advanced for three days, in of 248 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FCEL as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FCEL turned negative on January 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
FCEL moved below its 50-day moving average on January 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FCEL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FCEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.817) is normal, around the industry mean (4.093). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.807). FCEL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.638). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.096) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.023) is also within normal values, averaging (135.735).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FCEL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FCEL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of installs and services fuel cell power plants for distributed power generation
Industry ElectricalProducts