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May 28, 2021

Gap (GPS, $33.55) posts surprise Q1 profit

Gap  posted a surprise fiscal-first-quarter profit, and quarterly revenue that doubled from the year-ago period. The clothing company also raised its full-year guidance.

For the quarter ended May 1, Gap’s adjusted earnings came in at 48 cents a share, while analysts polled by FactSet expected adjusted loss of -5 cents a share.

Revenue rose to $3.99 billion,  from $2.1 billion a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $3.44 billion.

Comparable-store sales climbed +35% year-over-year at Old Navy Global, +29% at Gap Global and +27% at Athleta. However, same-store sales at Banana Republic fell -4% year-on-year.

For the full-year, Gap boosted its guidance on GAAP diluted earnings per share to a range of $1.55 to $1.70. Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting $1.43 a share.

The company projects net sales growth between the low to mid 20% range for fiscal 2022, compared with its earlier guidance of mid-to-high teens percent.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: GAP

GAP saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for GAP moved out of overbought territory on November 17, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for GAP moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GAP turned negative on November 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GAP as a result. In of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GAP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for GAP moved above the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 209 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.538) is normal, around the industry mean (6.136). P/E Ratio (10.121) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.999) is also within normal values, averaging (2.316). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.593) is also within normal values, averaging (5.027).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 16.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 170.94B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 170.94B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. LVLU experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while ESHDF experienced the biggest fall at -63%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 42
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. GAP showed earnings on August 28, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

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