Gap Inc. (GPS, $29.51) to separate Old Navy as a new company
Gap Inc’s shares rose 25% on Thursday after the company indicated its plans to separate its Old Navy brand, along with the closing of 230 Gap stores. 68 stores have already been shut.
The company has had mixed sales across its brands. Old Navy performed the best, as its wide range of budget apparel made it more attractive to a broader base of customers. On the other hand, Gap had a hard time catching up with the fast-fashion retailers and changing trends. This is confirmed by the fact that Old Navy has annual sales of about $8 billion, while the other brands have a combined revenue of $9 billion.
The company is also planning to boost its marketing and to develop new products for the Gap brand. However, the CEO Art Peck wants to focus more on the period-over-period improvement. Gap shares have fallen roughly 20% over the past 12 months, bringing its market cap to about $9.7 billion.
It is still undecided under which company name Gap, Athleta, Banana Republic and the remaining brands will come. The separation of Old Navy into a publicly listed company, which Gap said will be tax free to investors, is likely to be completed by 2020.
Analysts believe that the separation of Old Navy as a new company may enable a strategic focus, but this could reduce the diversification the brand provides to the overall entity.
Momentum Indicator for GAP turns positive, indicating new upward trend
GAP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GAP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GAP just turned positive on June 27, 2025. Looking at past instances where GAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
GAP moved below its 50-day moving average on June 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for GAP entered a downward trend on June 25, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.922) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (20.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.003) is also within normal values, averaging (1.444). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.688) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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